Analyst Ratings February 19, 2026

Citizens Sticks With Market Outperform on Addus HomeCare, Keeps $150 Target

Analyst reiteration highlights expected revenue tailwinds from recent personal care rate increases and a strong cash-flow outlook for 2026

By Leila Farooq ADUS
Citizens Sticks With Market Outperform on Addus HomeCare, Keeps $150 Target
ADUS

Citizens has reaffirmed its Market Outperform rating on Addus HomeCare (NASDAQ:ADUS) and maintained a $150.00 price target, implying a 32% upside from the current share price of $113.44. The firm cites steady execution, recent rate increases in key personal care states and a favorable leverage profile that supports continued acquisition activity and robust free cash flow generation.

Key Points

  • Citizens reaffirmed a Market Outperform rating on Addus HomeCare (NASDAQ:ADUS) with a $150.00 price target - a 32% upside from $113.44.
  • Recent rate increases in key personal care states are expected to lift personal care revenue growth above Addus’ typical organic range in 2026.
  • Addus shows solid financial metrics: 18.8% revenue growth over the last twelve months, net debt to annualized EBITDA of 0.3x, and $96.4 million in levered free cash flow over the past twelve months; Citizens projects about $140 million in free cash flow in 2026.

Citizens reiterated a Market Outperform rating on Addus HomeCare (NASDAQ:ADUS) and kept its $150.00 price target in place, which represents a 32% upside from the prevailing share price of $113.44. According to InvestingPro data cited by the firm, the stock appears undervalued relative to Fair Value estimates.

The analyst team expects Addus to sustain its consistent execution through the fourth quarter and into 2026. Citizens pointed to recent rate lifts in several key personal care states as a catalyst that should push personal care revenue growth above the company’s usual organic growth range in 2026.

The company reported strong top-line momentum, with revenue rising 18.8% over the last twelve months. Citizens said analysts continue to expect the company to remain profitable moving forward.

On leverage and cash flow, Addus reported a net debt to annualized EBITDA ratio of 0.3x. Citizens projects the company can generate roughly $140 million in free cash flow in 2026. That projection is consistent with the firm’s view of Addus’ current financial footing; InvestingPro data shows a moderate debt level, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19, and $96.4 million in levered free cash flow produced over the last twelve months.

Citizens views the company as positioned to continue deploying capital toward accretive acquisitions, noting that the low leverage ratio provides the financial flexibility to pursue growth initiatives.


Analyst action

The reiteration of the Market Outperform rating was issued by Citizens analyst Constantine Davides.


Contextual notes

  • Citizens maintained its $150.00 price target on Addus HomeCare.
  • The target implies a 32% upside from the current price of $113.44.
  • InvestingPro data is cited as indicating the stock is undervalued relative to Fair Value estimates.

Investors and market participants assessing Addus should weigh the company’s recent revenue growth and projected free cash flow against execution in personal care operations and the pace of rate realization in relevant states.

Risks

  • Execution risk - The firm’s outlook depends on Addus maintaining consistent execution through Q4 and into 2026, which affects revenue and profitability projections.
  • Regulatory and reimbursement risk - Projected personal care revenue growth is contingent on recent rate lifts in key personal care states being realized and sustained.
  • Integration and acquisition risk - Although low leverage supports acquisition activity, deploying capital toward accretive acquisitions carries integration and execution uncertainties.

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