Analyst Ratings February 18, 2026

Citizens Lifts Rush Street Interactive to Market Outperform Citing Strong iGaming Momentum

Analyst highlights accelerating monthly active users, favorable iGaming mix and regional growth catalysts while peers lag

By Ajmal Hussain RSI CZR
Citizens Lifts Rush Street Interactive to Market Outperform Citing Strong iGaming Momentum
RSI CZR

Citizens upgraded Rush Street Interactive (RSI) to Market Outperform from Market Perform and kept a $24.00 price target, pointing to a resilient online-gaming model, a favorable iGaming revenue mix and accelerating monthly active user growth in 2025. Benchmark reiterated a Buy and the same $24.00 target after factoring in Colombian tax changes; Citizens also maintained a Market Outperform on Caesars Entertainment with a $37.00 target.

Key Points

  • Citizens upgraded Rush Street Interactive (RSI) to Market Outperform from Market Perform and set a $24.00 price target, citing a durable online-gaming model and favorable iGaming mix.
  • Rush Street’s monthly active user growth accelerated each quarter in 2025, closing the year at 37% growth, versus larger peers that showed growth ranging from slightly down to up 20% in the quarter.
  • Benchmark reiterated a Buy on RSI with a $24.00 target after noting Colombia tax changes that could reduce 2025 revenue by approximately $70 million and adjusted EBITDA by $25-30 million; Citizens also maintained a Market Outperform on Caesars (CZR) with a $37.00 target.

Citizens has raised its view on Rush Street Interactive (NYSE: RSI), moving the stock from Market Perform to Market Outperform and assigning a $24.00 price target. The upgrade reflects what the analyst firm describes as a durable business model anchored by a favorable mix toward iGaming and a geographic footprint the firm considers advantageous for online gaming operators.

At the center of Citizens' thesis is user engagement. The research note highlights that Rush Street's monthly active user (MAU) growth accelerated in every quarter of 2025, finishing the year with 37% growth. Citizens contrasted that trajectory with larger rivals, which in the most recent quarter experienced MAU growth spanning from slightly negative to up 20%.


Catalysts and near-term drivers

Citizens identified several potential upside catalysts that could support better-than-expected results in coming quarters. These include the World Cup, an earlier-than-anticipated launch of online gaming in Alberta and improving customer economics. The firm views these factors as contributors that could push performance above current estimates if they materialize as expected.

Separately, Citizens noted that Rush Street stands to be among the largest beneficiaries should additional iGaming legalization occur, measured as a percentage of total company revenue. The firm flagged Virginia as a jurisdiction where an iGaming bill appears to be moving more favorably, but it also stated that it does not currently include such legalization in its base-case financial models. Citizens described the prospect of iGaming legalization as a call option on the stock, pointing to uncertainty around political drivers in Virginia that leaves the outcome unclear.


Other analyst actions and tax sensitivity

Benchmark also weighed in, reiterating a Buy rating on Rush Street Interactive with a $24.00 price target. Benchmark's update emphasized improved growth prospects driven in part by changes in Colombia's tax framework. The research firm estimated those tax changes could lower Rush Street Interactive's 2025 revenue by approximately $70 million and reduce adjusted EBITDA by $25-30 million.

Meanwhile, Citizens maintained a Market Outperform rating on Caesars Entertainment, setting a $37.00 price target. In its note, Citizens continued to monitor how developments such as betting exchanges might affect traditional gambling operators, keeping a favorable view on Caesars' positioning.


What this means for markets

The recent analyst activity highlights how regional regulatory moves, taxation shifts and major sporting events can influence the outlook and valuation of online-gaming companies. For Rush Street Interactive, the combination of strong user growth and exposure to potential iGaming legalization represent key inputs to the investment case, while tax developments in markets like Colombia remain material to near-term financial forecasts.

Risks

  • Regulatory uncertainty - Potential iGaming legalization remains unclear, particularly in Virginia; Citizens does not include legalization in its base-case models, making outcomes uncertain for online-gaming revenue exposure.
  • Tax policy sensitivity - Changes in Colombia’s tax framework could materially affect near-term financials, with Benchmark estimating a roughly $70 million hit to 2025 revenue and a $25-30 million reduction in adjusted EBITDA for Rush Street.
  • Event and timing risk - Catalysts cited by Citizens such as the World Cup and an earlier online launch in Alberta could impact results if they do not occur as anticipated or if their effect on customer economics is weaker than expected.

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