Analyst Ratings February 9, 2026

Citizens Keeps Market Outperform Rating and $21 Target on Newmark, Citing Hiring Gains and Refinancing Activity

Analyst maintains upside view as revenue momentum and strategic hires underpin growth thesis; international expansion seen as upside beyond current forecasts

By Marcus Reed NMRK
Citizens Keeps Market Outperform Rating and $21 Target on Newmark, Citing Hiring Gains and Refinancing Activity
NMRK

A Citizens analyst has reiterated a Market Outperform rating on Newmark Group, maintaining a $21.00 price target that implies roughly 25% upside from the current share price of $16.85. The firm points to recent hiring, market share gains in U.S. capital markets and strength in debt financing and alternative assets as drivers of the company’s 20.95% year-over-year revenue growth. Valuation metrics cited include a low PEG ratio of 0.31 and an 11x multiple applied to the analysts 2026 EPS estimate to derive the price target. Notable transaction activity and new international hires are highlighted as evidence of a scalable platform and potential future revenue contributions from EMEA and AsiaPac.

Key Points

  • Citizens reiterates Market Outperform on Newmark with a $21.00 price target, implying about 25% upside from $16.85 and with a most optimistic target of $24.
  • Newmark has recorded 20.95% revenue growth over the last twelve months, driven by hiring in U.S. capital markets and market share gains in debt financing and alternative asset sectors such as data centers - impacting real estate services and capital markets.
  • International expansion - currently 13% of revenue from EMEA and AsiaPac - is expected to contribute more in 2026 and beyond, representing upside not yet reflected in forward estimates.

A Citizens analyst has reiterated a Market Outperform rating on Newmark Group, Inc., keeping a $21.00 price target on the stock. That target represents approximately a 25% premium to the prevailing share price of $16.85, while the most bullish analyst projection in the market sits at $24. The consensus recommendation among covering analysts remains generally favorable, reflected in a 1.86 recommendation score.

Operational and revenue drivers

The analyst highlighted the impact of recent hiring initiatives, particularly within U.S. capital markets teams. These staffing additions have accompanied notable market share gains, the analyst said, with the most pronounced improvements visible in debt financing activities and within alternative asset classes such as data centers. Those strategic moves have coincided with reported revenue growth of 20.95% over the past twelve months.

Valuation signal

On valuation, Newmark is presented as trading at a low price-to-earnings ratio relative to anticipated near-term earnings growth. The report cites a PEG ratio of 0.31, which the analyst interprets as an indicator of potential undervaluation given recent performance metrics.

International expansion as unmodeled upside

Recent hiring emphasis has also been directed outside the United States. Revenue from EMEA and AsiaPac currently represents just 13% of Newmarks total, but the analyst expects that contribution to rise in 2026 and beyond as garden leave agreements expire and new offices ramp up. That projected international revenue increase is described as upside that is not yet reflected in forward consensus estimates.

Price target methodology

The maintained $21 price target is derived from an unchanged 11x multiple applied to the analysts 2026 earnings-per-share estimate. Citizens continued use of that multiple underscores the firms confidence in Newmarks growth strategy and its scalable platform within the real estate services sector.

Recent transaction activity

Operationally, Newmark has remained active in arranging major refinancing transactions. The company arranged a $690 million loan for West Shore to refinance 13 multifamily properties across five states, identified as the largest multifamily closing in the U.S. this year. Separately, Newmark facilitated a $630 million refinancing for 830 Brickell, a newly delivered Class-A office tower in Miami, with funding led by Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan.

Leadership hires and regional growth

On the talent front, Newmark opened a Korean flagship office in Seoul, led by John Pritchard, as part of its international expansion efforts. The company also appointed Peter Trollope as Global Head of Occupier Solutions to oversee growth of its integrated Occupier Solutions business. These moves are presented as strategic steps to broaden Newmarks service offering and geographic footprint.

Analyst view reiterated

In reiterating the Market Outperform rating and the $21.00 target, the analyst pointed to an improving market backdrop and to Newmarks scalable platform as positive factors supporting the recommendation. The report also notes that potential international upside is not currently incorporated into forward estimates, leaving room for upside should those regional contributions materialize as expected.


Note: The article summarizes the analysts published view, valuation approach and recent corporate activity as presented in the analyst report.

Risks

  • International growth is dependent on the expiration of garden leave agreements and successful regional ramp-up; delays or weaker-than-expected contributions from EMEA and AsiaPac could limit upside - affecting Newmarks international revenue trajectory and related market sectors.
  • The companys performance and valuation depend in part on continued success in debt financing and refinancing markets; a slowdown in real estate refinancing activity could weigh on revenue and deal flow - impacting commercial real estate and lending markets.
  • Forward estimates and the maintained price target assume an 11x multiple on 2026 EPS; if earnings do not materialize as expected, valuation multiples and the price target may not be supportable - influencing investor sentiment in financial and real estate services sectors.

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