Analyst Ratings February 23, 2026

Cantor Lowers Hive Digital Price Target Citing Weaker Bitcoin Mining Economics

Analyst maintains Overweight rating as miners face narrower margins and lower BTC assumptions

By Nina Shah HIVE
Cantor Lowers Hive Digital Price Target Citing Weaker Bitcoin Mining Economics
HIVE

Cantor Fitzgerald trimmed its 12-month price target for Hive Digital Technologies to $5.00 from $7.50 while keeping an Overweight rating, citing deteriorating Bitcoin mining economics and reduced Bitcoin price assumptions. The adjustment follows Hive Digital's fiscal third-quarter results showing record revenue and rising hashrate, but continued trailing losses and sensitivity to crypto price and network difficulty.

Key Points

  • Cantor Fitzgerald lowered Hive Digital's price target to $5.00 from $7.50 but maintained an Overweight rating; the stock traded at $2.08 with a $529 million market cap.
  • Hive reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $93.1 million (up 219% year-over-year) and adjusted EBITDA of $5.7 million, while 12-month revenue rose 113% to $257 million despite a negative EPS of $0.62 over the same period.
  • Operational growth included 25 exahashes per second installed hashrate, a 35% gross operating margin, and 885 Bitcoin mined in the quarter; management guided to 35 exahashes per second by year-end 2026 and outlined AI/HPC revenue targets for Buzz AI.

Cantor Fitzgerald on Monday revised down its price target for Hive Digital Technologies (NASDAQ:HIVE) to $5.00 from $7.50, though the firm left its Overweight rating intact. At the time of the update, Hive's shares were trading at $2.08, well below Cantor's new target, with the company's market capitalization reported at $529 million.

The brokerage attributed the reduction in its target to weaker Bitcoin mining economics and to lower Bitcoin price assumptions. Those factors, Cantor said, underpin the firm's view on the company's near-term valuation despite operational progress.

Hive Digital reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenue of $93.1 million, a 219% increase from the year-ago quarter, and adjusted EBITDA of $5.7 million. Over the trailing 12 months the company remained unprofitable, with a negative EPS of $0.62, although revenue for that period rose 113% year-over-year to $257 million.

Operational metrics showed expansion: Hive's installed hashrate reached 25 exahashes per second during the quarter, and the company reported a gross operating margin of 35% - more than six times higher year-over-year - notwithstanding lower Bitcoin prices and elevated network difficulty. In the quarter the company mined 885 Bitcoin, up 23% sequentially, while digital currency revenue totaled $88.2 million. Hive said the digital currency revenue growth was driven by a 41% quarter-over-quarter increase in average hashrate.

Management reiterated a dual engine strategy focused on both large-scale Bitcoin mining and AI/high-performance computing initiatives. The company guided to an installed hashrate of 35 exahashes per second by year-end 2026.

On the AI and HPC front, Hive highlighted a previously announced $30 million, two-year contract that is expected to support a ramp to roughly $35 million in annual recurring revenue from an additional 504 GPUs. Longer-term targets for the company's Buzz AI segment include an annual recurring revenue goal of $225 million by 2027.

In the wake of Hive's quarterly report, other analysts also updated their targets. Rosenblatt lowered its target to $4.50 from $6.50, retaining a Buy rating and citing an expansion in Paraguay that it said had improved mining economics despite a challenging hashprice environment. H.C. Wainwright reduced its price target to $7 from $10 while also keeping a Buy rating, describing the quarter's results as underwhelming.

Hive Digital's GPU Cloud business finished the quarter with an annualized run-rate revenue of $20 million; the company said this segment is expected to reach $35 million in annualized run-rate revenues by the end of the current quarter. These operational developments illustrate the company's efforts to grow across both crypto-mining and AI services amid a volatile external environment.


Contextual note: The market's reaction and analyst target revisions reflect the sensitivity of mining-focused businesses to Bitcoin price assumptions, network difficulty, and the pace of capacity buildouts. Hive's revenue and hashrate expansion point to operational momentum, but the firm remains exposed to crypto market volatility and margin pressure when hashprice weakens.

Risks

  • Exposure to Bitcoin price volatility and lower price assumptions - impacts the crypto mining sector and company valuation.
  • Rising network difficulty and weaker mining economics - affects miner profitability and margins in the blockchain infrastructure sector.
  • Continued unprofitability on a trailing 12-month basis despite revenue growth - poses execution and funding risks for the company and investor returns.

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