Cantor Fitzgerald has adjusted its price target on Instacart (NASDAQ: CART) down to $47.00 from $54.00, while leaving its rating on the shares at Overweight. At the stated target, the firm’s outlook continues to suggest more than 20% upside compared with the then-current trading price of $38.63.
The firm’s update did not provide a detailed explanation for the reduction in the price objective. Independent valuation metrics cited in market data indicate a range of analyst targets from $36 to $69, and a Fair Value assessment that presently suggests the stock is undervalued.
Instacart’s operating metrics remain notable: the company reports a gross profit margin of 74.46% and trades with a PEG ratio of 0.95. Those figures are highlighted in the note as factors that support the company’s valuation relative to its growth profile, even as the price target was trimmed.
An unusual element of the Cantor Fitzgerald update was that the analyst commentary, attributed to Deepak Mathivanan, focused heavily on Rivian’s fourth-quarter performance. The Rivian material within the note emphasized top-line, gross margin, and bottom-line beats versus consensus. Rivian reported a GAAP gross margin of 9%, well above the consensus estimate of 2%, and set a fiscal 2026 delivery guidance range of 62,000 to 67,000 vehicles. The remainder of the note discusses Rivian’s product roadmap, autonomous approach, and strategic partnerships with Amazon and Volkswagen - content that appears to have been included alongside the Instacart rating update.
On the company results front, Instacart’s fourth-quarter 2025 report showed mixed outcomes. The firm posted earnings per share of $0.30, missing the forecasted $0.52 by 42.31%. Revenue for the quarter reached $992 million, surpassing expectations by 1.85%.
Following the quarterly release, Needham revised its own outlook for Instacart by raising its price target to $55.00 from $50.00 and keeping a Buy rating in place. Needham pointed to the stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter performance and encouraging guidance for the first quarter as rationale for the lift. The firm also increased its 2026 estimated adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Instacart by 2%.
The juxtaposition of a Cantor Fitzgerald price-target reduction and a concurrent Needham upgrade underscores differing analyst interpretations of Instacart’s near-term results and trajectory. The update also highlights a procedural oddity in the Cantor note, where Rivian analysis is interwoven into coverage that primarily centers on Instacart.
Summary - Cantor Fitzgerald lowered its Instacart price target to $47 from $54 while maintaining an Overweight rating. The firm’s note included extensive discussion of Rivian’s quarterly beat, and Needham separately raised its Instacart target to $55 and lifted 2026 adjusted EBITDA estimates by 2%.
Key details - Instacart gross profit margin: 74.46%. PEG ratio: 0.95. Q4 2025 EPS: $0.30 (missed by 42.31%). Q4 2025 revenue: $992 million (beat by 1.85%). Analyst target range cited: $36 to $69.