Analyst Ratings February 10, 2026

Brean Capital Starts Coverage of First Financial Bankshares at Neutral, Sets $36 Target

Analyst flags premium valuation versus peers despite solid profitability and a lengthy dividend record

By Avery Klein FFIN
Brean Capital Starts Coverage of First Financial Bankshares at Neutral, Sets $36 Target
FFIN

Brean Capital initiated coverage of First Financial Bankshares (NASDAQ:FFIN) with a Neutral rating and a $36 price target. The broker's model applies a premium multiple to the bank's tangible book and projects FY26 EPS of $1.95 and FY27 EPS of $2.07, slightly below consensus. First Financial is trading at $34.29 and is up 15.63% year-to-date, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 19.35 and a price-to-book of 2.56. Brean highlighted the bank's stronger profitability metrics and long dividend track record as drivers of its premium valuation. Separately, First Financial Bank announced executive promotions as part of an internal succession plan.

Key Points

  • Brean Capital initiated First Financial Bankshares (NASDAQ:FFIN) at Neutral with a $36 price target; shares were trading at $34.29 and are up 15.63% year-to-date.
  • Brean's FY26 and FY27 EPS estimates are $1.95 and $2.07, respectively, versus consensus of approximately $1.99 (FY26) and $2.11 (FY27); the stock's current P/E is 19.35 and price-to-book is 2.56.
  • Brean justifies a premium valuation based on the bank's long dividend history (34 consecutive years of payments, 15 consecutive years of raises), projected superior profitability (FY26 ROA forecast 1.82% versus peer median ~1.24%), and an attractive Texas franchise.

Brean Capital launched coverage of First Financial Bankshares (NASDAQ:FFIN) on Tuesday, assigning a Neutral rating and setting a price objective of $36.00. The stock was quoted at $34.29 at the time of the note and has gained 15.63% so far this year. InvestingPro Fair Value metrics indicate the shares are trading below fair value under those measures.

In his initiation, analyst John Rodis published fiscal year earnings-per-share forecasts of $1.95 for FY26 and $2.07 for FY27. Those estimates sit slightly under current consensus figures, which are roughly $1.99 for FY26 and $2.11 for FY27. The company's prevailing price-to-earnings multiple is 19.35, a level Brean describes as a premium when weighed against near-term earnings growth potential.

Brean's $36 target is underpinned by two valuation assumptions. First, the firm expects First Financial to trade at approximately 320% of its current tangible book value. Second, the target implies a multiple of 18.5 times Brean's FY26 EPS projection. For context, Brean cites peer group medians of roughly 170% of tangible book and 11.3 times earnings. At present, First Financial's reported price-to-book ratio is 2.56 and the company has a market capitalization of $4.87 billion.

Brean noted that First Financial has historically attracted a valuation premium relative to its peer set, which the firm defines as banks with $10-20 billion in assets. Several attributes were highlighted as contributors to that premium. InvestingPro data referenced by Brean shows the company has made dividend payments for 34 consecutive years and has increased its dividend for 15 consecutive years. The broker also pointed to the bank's strong fundamentals and comparatively high profitability. Brean's model projects a FY26 return on assets of 1.82%, versus a peer-group median of around 1.24%.

InvestingPro figures cited in the initiation show the bank's current return on assets at 1.72% and a dividend yield of 2.2%. The InvestingPro data set is noted as containing additional financial health metrics available to subscribers, although those extra indicators were not detailed in Brean's note.

On the corporate governance front, First Financial Bank, a subsidiary of First Financial Bankshares, Inc., disclosed a set of executive-level promotions. James Alexander has been named Executive Vice President and Head of Commercial Banking, succeeding the role previously held by David Bailey. Bailey serves as President of both the company and the bank. Alexander originally joined First Financial in 2018 following the acquisition of Commercial State Bank in Kingwood, where he held the position of president. The firm characterized the promotion as part of an ongoing management succession plan intended to preserve continuity and effective leadership.

The initiation captures a mix of valuation questions and supportive operational signals. Brean's price target and the multiples it entails reflect an assumption that the market will continue to afford First Financial a material premium to tangible book and to peer earnings multiples, grounded in the bank's profitability profile and regional franchise. At the same time, the broker's EPS projections fall slightly below consensus, and the firm flags the bank's premium relative to peers as a distinguishing feature of the investment case.

Risks

  • Valuation premium: The stock is trading at a premium versus peer medians (Brean assumes ~320% of tangible book and 18.5x FY26 EPS), which raises valuation sensitivity for the regional banking sector and equity investors.
  • Earnings estimate divergence: Brean's FY26 and FY27 EPS forecasts are slightly below consensus, introducing uncertainty in near-term earnings expectations that affects bank equities and valuation models.
  • Management transition: Executive promotions as part of a succession plan represent a change in leadership that could introduce execution risk in corporate governance and commercial banking operations.

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