Analyst Ratings February 10, 2026

Brean Capital Starts Coverage of First Financial Bancorp With Neutral Rating, $33 Target

Analyst John Rodis lays out FY26-FY27 EPS estimates and valuation framework as the bank posts record Q4 2025 results

By Leila Farooq FFBC
Brean Capital Starts Coverage of First Financial Bancorp With Neutral Rating, $33 Target
FFBC

Brean Capital has initiated coverage of First Financial Bancorp (NASDAQ:FFBC) with a Neutral rating and a $33.00 price target. The firm’s analyst, John Rodis, set fiscal 2026 and 2027 EPS estimates of $3.10 and $3.30, respectively, and tied the $33 target to specific earnings and tangible book multiples. The company also reported record fourth-quarter 2025 results, though shares slipped modestly in aftermarket trading.

Key Points

  • Brean Capital initiated coverage of First Financial Bancorp (FFBC) with a Neutral rating and a $33.00 price target.
  • Analyst John Rodis set FY26 EPS at $3.10 and FY27 EPS at $3.30, slightly below consensus estimates of roughly $3.13 and $3.40, respectively; the $33 target assumes 10.7x FY26 EPS and 210% of current tangible book value.
  • First Financial reported record Q4 2025 results with adjusted EPS of $0.80 versus a $0.56 forecast and revenue of $251.3 million, though the stock dipped modestly in aftermarket trading. Impacted sectors: banking and broader financials.

Brean Capital has launched coverage of First Financial Bancorp (NASDAQ:FFBC) with a Neutral rating and a price target of $33.00. The stock was trading at $30.90, roughly 0.99% below its 52-week high of $31.36, with InvestingPro data also flagging the bank as potentially undervalued on a Fair Value basis.

In his initiation report, Brean Capital analyst John Rodis set fiscal year 2026 earnings per share at $3.10 and fiscal year 2027 EPS at $3.30. Those estimates sit slightly below current consensus figures, which are approximately $3.13 for FY26 and $3.40 for FY27.

InvestingPro data cited in the initiation notes a current price-to-earnings ratio of 11.61 for First Financial Bancorp, a metric the service characterizes as elevated relative to the bank’s near-term earnings growth prospects.

Brean Capital’s $33.00 price objective is anchored to two valuation assumptions: a multiple of 10.7 times the firm’s FY26 EPS estimate and 210% of the bank’s current tangible book value. The firm also expresses that this target equates to roughly 185% of projected year-end 2026 tangible book value.

Those valuation metrics are positioned against peer medians for similarly sized banks. Among banks with $20 billion to $100 billion in assets, Brean Capital notes median multiples near 11.6 times earnings and about 172% of tangible book value.

The coverage launch follows Brean Capital’s acquisition of Janney Montgomery Scott’s Banking and Insurance capital markets teams on January 30, 2023. Rodis projects a fiscal 2026 return on assets of 1.42% for First Financial, above a peer group median of approximately 1.21%. The bank’s reported return on assets for the last twelve months stands at 1.29%.

First Financial also released fourth-quarter 2025 results that the initiation report characterizes as record-setting. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.80 for the quarter, ahead of analyst forecasts of $0.56. Revenue for the quarter reached $251.3 million, modestly exceeding expectations. Despite those results, the stock experienced a small decline in aftermarket trading.


Context and implications

Brean Capital’s Neutral stance and $33 target reflect an explicit valuation framework that blends near-term earnings assumptions with tangible book value multiples. The initiation emphasizes measured outperformance on return on assets versus peers while flagging a P/E that InvestingPro views as relatively high given expected near-term earnings growth.

Data limitations - The initiation report lists Brean Capital’s estimates and the InvestingPro metrics cited; those figures form the basis for the firm’s price target and relative comparisons.

Risks

  • The bank’s current price-to-earnings ratio of 11.61 is noted as high relative to near-term earnings growth, which could affect valuation sensitivity in the banking and financials sectors.
  • Valuation assumptions underpinning the $33 target rely on both an earnings multiple (10.7x FY26 EPS) and a tangible book value multiple (210% of current tangible book value), leaving the target sensitive to changes in earnings outlook or book value realizations in the banking sector.
  • Despite record quarterly results, shares fell slightly in aftermarket trading, indicating potential near-term market skepticism or volatility in investor reaction within financial markets.

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