Analyst Ratings February 4, 2026

BofA Elevates Five Below to Buy, Cites New Leadership and Strategic Reset

Broker raises price target to $233, pointing to management changes and a refocus on children and Millennial moms as catalysts

By Jordan Park FIVE
BofA Elevates Five Below to Buy, Cites New Leadership and Strategic Reset
FIVE

BofA Securities upgraded Five Below from Underperform to Buy and raised its price target to $233 from $158, attributing the move to confidence in a recently assembled executive team and a strategic shift toward children and Millennial moms. The firm’s valuation is built on a 30x multiple of its fiscal 2028/calendar 2027 EPS estimate of $7.75. The stock has rallied more than 100% over the past year and multiple other brokerages have also increased targets following strong holiday performance.

Key Points

  • BofA upgraded Five Below from Underperform to Buy and raised its price target to $233 from $158, using a 30x multiple on fiscal 2028/calendar 2027 EPS estimated at $7.75.
  • The firm cited confidence in the retailer’s new leadership team - CEO Winnie Park (joined December 2024), CFO Dan Sullivan and Chief Merchant Michelle Israel (both joined October 2025) - and a strategic refocus toward children and Millennial moms.
  • Multiple brokerages have raised price targets following strong holiday results, including UBS, Truist Securities, Guggenheim, Craig-Hallum, and maintained levels from Goldman Sachs; sectors impacted include consumer discretionary and retail equities.

BofA Securities has upgraded Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE) from Underperform to Buy and lifted its price target to $233 from $158. The investment bank’s move, announced Wednesday, rests on an expectation that a new management team will drive operational improvement and warrant a higher valuation multiple.

The discount retailer was trading at $196.73 at the time of the report and carries a market capitalization of $10.85 billion. Its shares have climbed 108.73% over the last year and are trading close to a 52-week high of $205.22, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 35.16 based on available data.

Valuation framework

BofA analyst Robert Ohmes derived the new $233 target by applying a 30 times multiple to the firm’s fiscal 2028/calendar 2027 earnings per share estimate of $7.75. That multiple represents an increase from the bank’s prior basis of 24 times fiscal 2027/calendar 2026 EPS. BofA also noted that the company currently trades at roughly 25 times projected calendar 2027 EPS, and the bank expects the stock to revert to a higher multiple as results improve under the new leadership.

Leadership and strategic emphasis

The upgrade follows a series of executive hires that BofA identified as pivotal. CEO Winnie Park joined the company in December 2024. Later additions include CFO Dan Sullivan and Chief Merchant Michelle Israel, who both joined in October 2025. BofA highlighted the management changes as central to its improved outlook.

As part of the strategic recalibration, BofA specifically pointed to the company refocusing on children and the Millennial Mom demographic rather than preteens and teens. The bank cited that shift as an important factor supporting its more optimistic assessment.

Analyst activity and market signals

The BofA action comes amid a wave of upward price-target revisions from other brokerages. UBS increased its target to $255 from $210 and maintained a Buy recommendation, noting a 14.5% comparable sales increase in the fourth quarter. Truist Securities raised its target to $236 from $223, attributing the change to robust holiday sales and effective marketing. Guggenheim set a target of $225, referencing the company’s strongest holiday performance in its history. Craig-Hallum moved its target to $240 from $225 based on projected EPS growth for fiscal 2027. Goldman Sachs left its target at $231, pointing to potential growth tied to movie licensing opportunities in 2026.

Collectively, these broker notes reflect a consensus of improved near-term momentum and heightened expectations for Five Below’s sales and earnings trajectory.

Market context and investor implications

Investors will likely view BofA’s upgrade and the broader cluster of raised targets as confirmation that several sell-side firms expect the retailer to convert recent strength into sustained improvement. BofA’s valuation move, in particular, signals a view that earnings growth combined with strategic execution could justify a materially higher multiple than current market pricing.


Bottom line

BofA’s upgrade to Buy and the adjusted $233 price target rest on a mix of leadership turnover, a targeted merchandising focus, and an earnings estimate of $7.75 for fiscal 2028/calendar 2027. Multiple other brokerages have also moved higher on price targets following sturdy holiday results and company-specific catalysts cited in their reports.

Risks

  • The upgraded valuation depends on improved results under the new management team; if execution does not meet expectations, the assumed higher multiple may not materialize - this affects investor sentiment in the retail sector.
  • BofA’s price target is tied to a specific earnings estimate (fiscal 2028/calendar 2027 EPS of $7.75) and a 30x multiple; variability in earnings or market multiple recalibration could alter the outlook - relevant to equity valuation models.
  • Several analyst boosts reference strong holiday sales and merchandising shifts; the sustainability of these seasonal gains and the strategic pivot toward children and Millennial moms remains an uncertainty for consumer-focused revenue models.

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