Analyst Ratings February 24, 2026

BofA Begins Coverage of PicPay, Calls Credit Business the Engine of Growth

Broker sets $27 price target and projects rapid EPS and ROE expansion as Brazilian digital wallet embraces balance-sheet lending

By Caleb Monroe
BofA Begins Coverage of PicPay, Calls Credit Business the Engine of Growth

BofA Securities launched coverage of PicPay (PICS) with a buy rating and a $27.00 price target, citing the companys pivot into credit underwriting as the primary driver of future earnings. The firm forecasts a 117% EPS compound annual growth rate through 2028 and expects return on equity to rise above 30% from a current trailing-12-month ROE of 16%. Multiple other brokerages have also initiated coverage with bullish ratings and a range of price targets.

Key Points

  • BofA Securities initiated coverage on PicPay with a buy rating and a $27.00 price target, implying about 73% upside - sectors impacted: fintech, equities.
  • BofA expects PicPay's credit underwriting business to be the primary engine of earnings, projecting EPS CAGR of 117% through 2028 and ROE rising above 30% from a trailing-12-month ROE of 16% - sectors impacted: consumer credit, banking.
  • Several other brokerages also began coverage with bullish ratings and differing price targets, reflecting strong sell-side interest in Brazil's fintech market - sectors impacted: investment research, capital markets.

BofA Securities has initiated coverage of PicPay (NASDAQ:PICS) with a buy rating and placed a $27.00 price target on the Brazilian fintech, according to a report published Monday. The brokerage sees approximately 73% upside from the stock's current quoted level.

PicPay, identified as the third-largest fintech in Brazil by number of clients, began in 2012 as a digital wallet that consolidated cards and accounts from third-party financial institutions. In 2023 the company altered its business model to assume balance-sheet risk, moving into underwriting credit cards and payroll loans.

BofA highlighted the newly expanded credit business as the anticipated principal driver of PicPay's future earnings. The firm projects a compound annual growth rate in earnings per share of 117% through 2028 and expects return on equity to climb above 30% over time. BofA noted that PicPay's current return on equity stands at 16% on a last-twelve-months basis, which the analyst team views as compatible with their 30%+ ROE objective.

At the time of the report, shares were trading at $15.61, giving the company a market capitalization of about $2.02 billion. InvestingPro analysis cited in the report describes the stock as appearing undervalued and points to additional Fair Value estimates and more than 10 ProTips available to PICS subscribers.

The brokerage's view that ROE and earnings growth will accelerate does not, in BofA's assessment, appear to be reflected in the current share price. That bullish stance aligns with Wall Street consensus ratings that the report described as Strong Buy. The company has also demonstrated rapid top-line growth, with revenue up 92% over the last twelve months as reported in the coverage summary.

Other investment firms have recently opened coverage on PicPay with positive assessments. Mizuho initiated coverage with an outperform rating and a $30.00 price target. RBC Capital began coverage with an outperform rating and projected a 53% compound annual revenue growth rate through fiscal 2027, assigning a $20.00 price target. HSBC also initiated coverage, assigning a buy rating and a $21.00 price target; HSBC's analysis used a dividend discount model with a cost of equity of 15% and a growth rate of 8.0%.

These analyst entries collectively underline a broadly favorable view among sell-side firms about PicPay's growth prospects and market position as it transitions from a digital-wallet platform into a credit-originating fintech.


Note on scope: The details in this piece are drawn from the coverage reports cited and reflect the analysts' published projections and ratings.

Risks

  • PicPay's 2023 shift to taking balance-sheet risk by underwriting credit cards and payroll loans introduces credit exposure that could affect earnings and capital - sectors impacted: consumer credit, banking.
  • Analyst projections for rapid EPS and ROE expansion may not be priced into the market, and actual performance could diverge from forecasts - sectors impacted: equities, financials.
  • Divergent price targets among initiating analysts indicate varying assumptions about valuation and growth, creating uncertainty around consensus valuation - sectors impacted: capital markets, investment research.

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