Analyst Ratings February 6, 2026

BMO Lowers PTC Target to $189 After Solid Q1 Results, Keeps Outperform

Analyst trims valuation but points to durable opportunity in manufacturing software and share buybacks as support

By Derek Hwang PTC
BMO Lowers PTC Target to $189 After Solid Q1 Results, Keeps Outperform
PTC

BMO Capital reduced its price objective on PTC Inc. to $189 from $219 while retaining an Outperform rating after the company's first-quarter fiscal 2026 report. The firm described the quarter as "okay," highlighted sizable contracted deferred ARR as reassurance for back-half revenue acceleration, and pointed to strong profitability and revenue growth over the past year. PTC also delivered better-than-expected Q1 results, with EPS and revenue above consensus and free cash flow in line with guidance.

Key Points

  • BMO Capital cut PTC’s price target to $189 from $219 but kept an Outperform rating, pointing to steady growth prospects and buyback plans.
  • PTC posted stronger-than-expected Q1 fiscal 2026 results: EPS $1.92 vs $1.55 expected, revenue $686M vs $634.94M forecast, ARR up 9.0% excluding FX and divestitures, and free cash flow of $267M within guidance.
  • Analysts note PTC’s high gross margins (84.23%) and 23.62% trailing twelve-month revenue growth; shares trade at multi-year lows on free cash flow multiples according to BMO.

BMO Capital has cut its price target on PTC Inc. to $189.00 from $219.00 but left its Outperform rating intact following the software maker's first-quarter fiscal 2026 results. The research house described the quarter as "okay" and pointed to commentary about meaningful contracted deferred annual recurring revenue (ARR) as a factor that supports the customary back-half ramp to growth.

The firm noted several metrics that underpin its stance. PTC reported high profitability, with gross profit margins of 84.23%, and recorded 23.62% revenue growth over the trailing twelve months. Those operational results, BMO said, lend credibility to the company’s strategic emphasis on modernizing CAD, data management, and life-cycle solutions for manufacturers - areas the analyst believes present durable opportunities even amid broader market concerns around AI.

BMO also flagged valuation dynamics. It said PTC shares are trading at multi-year lows on free cash flow multiples. Management has indicated plans to repurchase stock equal to roughly 5% of the company's current market capitalization during the fiscal year, a move the research firm cited as supportive for shareholders.

Despite trimming the target price, BMO reiterated its Outperform view, citing a steady growth outlook and the share repurchase program as positive elements that mitigate near-term uncertainty. InvestingPro data referenced in the research indicates that PTC is trading below its Fair Value, with analyst targets spanning a range from $158 to $250.

PTC’s reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results provide the context for these analyst reactions. The company posted earnings per share of $1.92, ahead of the consensus estimate of $1.55. Revenue came in at $686 million versus an expected $634.94 million. On a comparable basis excluding foreign exchange effects and divestitures, ARR grew 9.0%, which the company said sits at the high end of its guidance range. Free cash flow reached $267 million, aligning with PTC’s guidance of $265-270 million.

Oppenheimer, another sell-side firm mentioned in coverage, reaffirmed its Outperform rating on PTC and kept a $200.00 price target. Together, the analyst commentary and the company’s quarterly results frame a picture of operational strength paired with a more conservative near-term valuation outlook.


Summary: BMO lowered its PTC price target to $189 from $219 but maintained an Outperform rating, citing solid profitability, revenue growth, substantial contracted deferred ARR, and planned share repurchases. PTC beat EPS and revenue expectations for Q1 fiscal 2026, reported ARR growth of 9.0% ex-FX and divestitures, and delivered free cash flow in line with guidance.

Risks

  • Valuation risk - PTC shares are trading at multi-year lows on free cash flow multiples, which could limit near-term upside for equity investors.
  • Execution risk - While deferred contracted ARR offers reassurance for back-half growth, the company’s ability to convert that ARR into sustained revenue growth remains a key uncertainty.
  • Market sentiment risk - Broader concerns about AI and market dynamics could weigh on investor appetite for software stocks, affecting PTC’s stock performance despite operational strength.

More from Analyst Ratings

Stifel Lowers JFrog Target Citing AI-Driven Security Concerns; Maintains Buy Rating Feb 22, 2026 HSBC Lowers Synopsys Rating to Hold, Flags 2026 as Transition Year Feb 21, 2026 DA Davidson Cuts Uber Price Target Citing Elevated Investment; Buy Rating Intact Feb 20, 2026 Freedom Capital Markets Raises Freeport-McMoRan to Buy, Cites Copper Supply Tightness Feb 20, 2026 BofA Lifts CF Industries Price Target After Strong Q4 EBITDA; Maintains Underperform Rating Feb 20, 2026