Analyst Ratings February 9, 2026

BMO Lifts Black Hills Price Target to $84, Cites Microgrid and Data Center Opportunities

Analyst keeps Outperform rating as company posts FY-aligned EPS and outlines modest 2026 growth; recent quarter missed estimates

By Priya Menon BKH
BMO Lifts Black Hills Price Target to $84, Cites Microgrid and Data Center Opportunities
BKH

BMO Capital raised its price target on Black Hills Corp to $84 from $82 and maintained an Outperform rating, pointing to growing confidence in the utility’s microgrid management fee and potential data center revenue. The firm’s move follows fiscal year results that matched guidance midpoint and 2026 guidance signaling modest earnings growth, even as the company’s most recent quarter missed analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue.

Key Points

  • BMO Capital raised its price target on Black Hills to $84 from $82 and maintained an Outperform rating, implying upside versus the then-current share price of $71.56 - impacts equity investors and the utilities sector.
  • Black Hills reported fiscal year EPS of $4.10, aligned with the midpoint of company guidance, and provided 2026 guidance with a $4.35 midpoint, about 6% growth over 2025 - relevant to earnings-driven valuation and investor expectations.
  • BMO highlighted growing confidence in the microgrid management fee and potential additional data center earnings as drivers for the price-target increase - significant for segments tied to energy services and data infrastructure.

BMO Capital raised its price objective on Black Hills Corp (NYSE:BKH) to $84.00 from $82.00 on Monday, while keeping an Outperform rating on the utility’s shares. The updated target implies upside relative to the stock’s then-current trading level of $71.56, although InvestingPro data indicates the shares may be trading above their Fair Value based on that service’s comprehensive assessment.

The price-target revision follows Black Hills’ fiscal year results, which showed earnings per share of $4.10 - a number that landed squarely at the midpoint of the company’s guidance range. Black Hills, which has a market capitalization of $5.4 billion, has delivered substantial shareholder returns over the last year, with a 27% rise in its share price over the past 12 months.

For 2026 the company provided guidance with a midpoint of $4.35 in EPS, a figure BMO Capital notes represents approximately 6% growth compared with 2025 results. The bank described this rate of growth as an "inflection" in Black Hills’ earnings trajectory. Management has also maintained a long-term EPS growth target of 4-6% through 2030, using the 2023 midpoint as the baseline for that projection.

In explaining its decision to lift the target, BMO Capital cited increased optimism around Black Hills’ microgrid management fee and the potential for additional earnings from data center-related activities. Those factors underpinned the firm’s more constructive view on the company’s near-term revenue mix and fee-generating opportunities.

Separately, Black Hills reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that fell short of analyst expectations. The company posted quarterly EPS of $1.41, missing the $1.45 consensus, and revenue of $635.5 million, below the $799.12 million that had been forecast. Despite the quarterly shortfall in both earnings and revenue, the company has maintained its broader growth outlook.

Investor sentiment showed a modest positive reaction in pre-market trading, as reflected in early stock movement following the reports and the analyst update. The combination of a reaffirmed growth trajectory, the analyst firm’s warmer view on emerging fee streams, and the recent operational results form the key data points driving market and analyst attention on Black Hills today.


Background context and implications

Black Hills’ fiscal-year EPS that matched the midpoint of guidance provides a baseline of execution relative to management expectations. The 2026 midpoint guidance implying roughly 6% growth signals a modest acceleration relative to the prior year and is characterized by BMO Capital as a potential turning point in earnings progression. At the same time, the fourth-quarter misses underscore short-term volatility in quarterly results.

Risks

  • Recent quarterly results missed estimates with Q4 2025 EPS of $1.41 versus $1.45 expected and revenue of $635.5 million versus $799.12 million expected, indicating near-term execution risk that could affect investor sentiment - impacts the utilities sector and equity market performance.
  • InvestingPro analysis suggests shares may be trading above Fair Value, which introduces valuation risk for investors considering new or larger positions - affects valuation-sensitive market participants.
  • Growth assumptions tied to microgrid fees and data center-related upside carry uncertainty until those revenue streams are realized at scale, creating strategic and operational risk for future earnings - relevant to energy services and infrastructure markets.

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