Analyst Ratings February 6, 2026

BMO Lifts Alphabet Price Target to $400, Citing Strong Search, Cloud Results and AI Efficiency Gains

Analyst keeps Outperform rating and names Alphabet a Top Pick after robust Q4 2025; Waymo expansion and cloud strength noted

By Ajmal Hussain GOOGL
BMO Lifts Alphabet Price Target to $400, Citing Strong Search, Cloud Results and AI Efficiency Gains
GOOGL

BMO Capital Markets raised its price objective for Alphabet to $400 from $343 and maintained an Outperform rating, designating the stock a Top Pick. The firm pointed to stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter 2025 results - led by Search and Google Cloud - and highlighted progress in AI adoption and material cost-to-serve improvements. Other analysts also adjusted targets higher following the earnings report, while Waymo continued geographic expansion and winter testing.

Key Points

  • BMO Capital raised its price target on Alphabet to $400 from $343 and kept an Outperform rating, designating the stock a Top Pick.
  • Q4 2025 results showed a 2% revenue beat overall, driven by a 3% Search revenue beat (Search up 16% YoY excluding FX) and an 8% beat in Google Cloud (Cloud up 48% YoY).
  • Gemini reached 750 million monthly active users and Alphabet cut cost-to-serve by 78% in 2025; BMO supports Alphabet's $175-185 billion capex guidance for 2026.

BMO Capital Markets raised its price target for Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) to $400.00 from $343.00 and retained an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm also labeled Alphabet a "Top Pick." At the time of the note, Alphabet was trading at $331.25, carrying a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.81 and a market capitalization of $4.01 trillion. InvestingPro analysis referenced in the note indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value estimate.

BMO based its decision on Alphabet's "very impressive" fourth-quarter results for 2025, which produced a 2% revenue beat overall. The firm emphasized two drivers behind the upside: Search revenue outpaced expectations by 3% - rising 16% year-over-year on an ex-foreign-exchange basis - and Google Cloud surpassed estimates by 8%, posting 48% year-over-year growth. According to BMO, these beats helped lift Alphabet's revenue growth to 15.09% over the last twelve months.

The research note acknowledged pockets of weakness amid the strong quarter. YouTube revenue missed estimates by 4%, a shortfall BMO attributed to difficult year-over-year political advertising comparisons. Despite that miss, the firm judged the Search and Cloud outperformance sufficient to validate a more bullish valuation and continued conviction in the company's growth trajectory.

BMO also drew attention to Alphabet's AI progress. The firm highlighted Gemini reaching 750 million monthly active users and cited a substantial reduction in cost-to-serve - a 78% decline in 2025 - as an important operational improvement. Those metrics were presented as evidence of both user traction and improved unit economics tied to the company's AI investments.

In reiterating its Outperform stance and Top Pick designation, BMO signaled support for Alphabet's planned capital deployment, backing the company's $175-185 billion capital expenditure guidance for 2026. The note portrayed Alphabet as a leader across the AI stack and as a business with sizeable scale in search, advertising, and cloud computing.

Several other research houses reacted to Alphabet's quarter with upward revisions and sustained positive ratings. JPMorgan raised its price target to $395 while keeping an Overweight rating. Stifel likewise increased its target to $395, calling out Google Cloud's strong performance and potential for continued expansion. DA Davidson raised its price target to $310 after the results exceeded revenue and profit expectations, and Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an Overweight rating with a $370 target, noting that both revenues and EBIT beat Street estimates.

Beyond the core advertising and cloud businesses, Alphabet's autonomous vehicle unit Waymo disclosed operational moves concurrent with the earnings period. Waymo announced an expansion into Sacramento and a return to Boston to extend its operations, and it reported testing of its sixth-generation Waymo Driver in snowy conditions to improve winter-weather performance.


Overall, BMO's update underscores a view that Alphabet's recent quarter validated ongoing growth in Search and Cloud, while AI product adoption and sharp reductions in cost-to-serve provide incremental support for the firm's higher valuation. The broader analyst community responded with mostly positive target adjustments, and Alphabet's mobility unit continued to advance its testing and geographic footprint.

Risks

  • YouTube revenue missed estimates by 4%, reflecting sensitivity to political advertising cycles and potential volatility in ad-dependent revenue streams - this affects the advertising sector and media-adjacent markets.
  • Large capital expenditure guidance ($175-185 billion for 2026) introduces execution and allocation risk, which could impact free cash flow and investor returns in the technology capital investment space.
  • Heavy reliance on AI adoption for improved unit economics means continued execution is required to sustain cost-to-serve reductions and user engagement; failure to maintain these trends would affect cloud, AI services, and core search monetization.

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