Analyst Ratings February 12, 2026

BMO Cuts HubSpot Price Target to $285, Keeps Outperform Rating Amid Sector Valuation Pressure

Analysts remain divided as guidance and strong recent results contrast with compressed SaaS multiples

By Caleb Monroe HUBS
BMO Cuts HubSpot Price Target to $285, Keeps Outperform Rating Amid Sector Valuation Pressure
HUBS

BMO Capital lowered its 12-month price target for HubSpot Inc to $285 from $385 but left its Outperform rating intact, citing broad-based solid results and sector-wide valuation compression rather than company-specific weakness. The firm noted HubSpot’s fiscal 2026 revenue guidance and growth signals as reasonable, while several other analysts have also trimmed targets or adjusted ratings amid mixed views on growth trajectory and margin risks.

Key Points

  • BMO Capital reduced its price target on HubSpot to $285 from $385 but maintained an Outperform rating, attributing the cut to sector valuation compression rather than company-specific problems.
  • BMO noted HubSpot’s fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of 16% constant currency growth slightly surpassed the firm’s estimates and described the guidance as "an appropriate starting point," while citing expectations for expanding NRR and healthy customer additions.
  • Multiple other analysts adjusted targets or ratings: Piper Sandler ($280 from $400, Overweight), KeyBanc ($340 from $400), Needham ($300 from $700), RBC (downgrade to Sector Perform, $189 from $322), and William Blair (kept Outperform).

BMO Capital has reduced its price target on HubSpot Inc (NYSE:HUBS) to $285.00 from $385.00 while retaining an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm framed the revision as a response to movement in sector valuations rather than a reflection of HubSpot’s operating performance.

According to BMO, the company produced "solid results across the board," with reported financials showing generally good execution. In particular, BMO highlighted HubSpot’s fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance of 16% year-over-year growth on a constant currency basis, which the research team said slightly exceeded the firm’s own estimates and represented "an appropriate starting point" for the business.

The research note emphasized confidence in HubSpot’s forward picture. BMO pointed to expectations for an expanding Net Revenue Retention (NRR) and continued healthy customer additions, calling the company’s targets "achievable and perhaps conservative." Despite that constructive view on fundamentals, BMO attributed the lowered price target to what it described as "ongoing compression in SaaS front office valuations," explicitly distinguishing the move from concerns tied directly to HubSpot’s performance.

Other sell-side firms have also acted on HubSpot in recent sessions, reflecting a range of conclusions about the company’s outlook and the software sector more broadly. Piper Sandler cut its price target to $280 from $400 while maintaining an Overweight rating, linking its action to lower software multiples across the sector. KeyBanc trimmed its target to $340 from $400, expressing concern that HubSpot’s 2026 revenue guidance fails to meet the company’s stated aim of returning to 20% growth.

Needham made a sizable downward revision as well, lowering its price objective to $300 from $700 even as it acknowledged HubSpot’s strong fourth-quarter performance, which included 18% constant currency revenue growth. RBC Capital took a more cautious approach by downgrading the stock from Outperform to Sector Perform and cutting its price target to $189 from $322; the firm cited potential cost pressures as a factor in its decision. By contrast, William Blair kept an Outperform rating in place, noting recent stock price compression and concerns about the potential impact of artificial intelligence on the sector but remaining constructive on the name.

Taken together, these analyst actions illustrate a mixed reception to HubSpot’s near-term trajectory: reporting-quality results and a revenue guide that modestly exceeded some estimates sit alongside sector-wide multiple compression and questions about the pace of return to higher growth. Several firms trimmed targets or adjusted ratings for reasons ranging from broad software-multiple declines to specific worries about cost dynamics and growth cadence.


Contextual note: The analyst adjustments and target changes reflect current assessments from the named research firms and the commentary they provided; they do not indicate any one definitive outlook for the company. Market participants will weigh HubSpot’s execution and guidance against evolving sector valuation trends and cost assumptions.

Risks

  • Ongoing compression in SaaS front-office valuations could continue to weigh on HubSpot’s market multiple and share price - this affects the software and SaaS sectors.
  • HubSpot’s 2026 revenue guidance (16% constant currency growth) falls short of the company’s stated goal of returning to 20% growth, raising uncertainty about near-term top-line momentum - this impacts investors focused on growth-oriented technology stocks.
  • Potential cost pressures cited by some analysts could weigh on margins and earnings expectations if they materialize - this is a risk for margin-sensitive software and SaaS businesses.

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