Analyst action and trading reaction
Bernstein SocGen Group on Friday lowered its price target for Molson Coors Beverage Co. (TAP) to $45 from $50 and kept its Market Perform rating on the shares. Over the most recent week, the stock declined 9.2% to trade at $48.35, sitting well below the analyst high target of $72 yet above the low target of $40.
Drivers cited by the research firm
The firm pointed to Molson Coors' fiscal 2026 guidance as the principal reason for the target cut. Management's outlook met expectations on revenue but fell meaningfully short on profit projections, the analyst said. The company released its fiscal 2026 results after the market close on Wednesday and also presented at the Consumer Analyst Group of New York (CAGNY) conference.
Quarterly performance and medium-term plan
Molson Coors' fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results missed estimates modestly, though the company reiterated a medium-term growth algorithm that the analyst described as exceeding expectations. Management also announced an initiative aimed at $450 million in cost savings over the next three years.
During its presentation at CAGNY, the brewer provided an update on its "Horizon 2030" strategy and expanded authorization for share repurchases. A financial research platform flagged the company's buyback activity as aggressive, and the CAGNY slide deck included a reference—on slide 21—to portfolio transformation through mergers and acquisitions.
Valuation view and research access
Independent platform analysis suggests the stock appears undervalued at current levels and that a calculated Fair Value implies potential upside. Investors seeking deeper analysis can consult the company-specific Pro Research Report available through that research service.
Other recent analyst reactions and company results
In its quarterly earnings, Molson Coors reported adjusted earnings of $1.21 per share, beating analyst estimates of $1.16. Revenue, however, came in at $2.66 billion versus a consensus $2.72 billion, a decline of 2.7% from the prior year.
Despite the EPS beat, the company issued a disappointing outlook for fiscal 2026, pointing to significant commodity inflation headwinds that have unsettled investors. UBS reiterated a Neutral rating with a $50 price target, noting that the earnings beat owed largely to lower selling, general and administrative expenses and a favorable tax rate. Goldman Sachs raised its price target to $50 from $47 while maintaining a Buy rating; that adjustment followed mixed fourth-quarter results and fiscal 2026 guidance below expectations, with the firm citing a tough industry demand environment and elevated Midwest premium aluminum costs as key challenges.
Context and takeaways
The combination of cautious profit guidance, ongoing cost and commodity pressures, and active capital-return programs paints a mixed picture for Molson Coors as it navigates shifting demand conditions and input-cost volatility.