Analyst Ratings February 12, 2026

Benchmark Lifts Tower Semiconductor Target to $165 as Silicon Photonics Strength Drives Margins

Analyst raises price objective to the high end of the peer range after stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue and margin expansion

By Sofia Navarro TSEM
Benchmark Lifts Tower Semiconductor Target to $165 as Silicon Photonics Strength Drives Margins
TSEM

Benchmark increased its price target on Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) to $165 from $150 and reaffirmed a Buy rating, citing robust fourth-quarter results led by the company's silicon photonics business and higher incremental margins. Tower reported revenue and profit beats for the quarter, guided to a modest seasonal trough in Q1 2026, and carries a market capitalization above $14.6 billion with low leverage.

Key Points

  • Benchmark raised its price target on Tower Semiconductor to $165 from $150 and maintained a Buy rating; the target matches the top of the analyst range ($114 to $165).
  • Tower reported Q4 revenue of $440 million (14% y/y, 11% sequential) and adjusted EPS of $0.78, beating estimates; full-year revenue totaled $1.57 billion with a 23.23% gross profit margin.
  • Growth was driven by AI data center-focused RF Infrastructure and silicon photonics, where Tower holds about an 85% market share; Q4 gross margin expanded by 320 bps sequentially and 430 bps y/y.

Benchmark raised its price target on Tower Semiconductor (NASDAQ:TSEM) to $165.00 from $150.00 and kept a Buy rating on the specialty foundry. The new target sits at the top of the analyst range, which spans from $114 to $165, and follows a quarter in which the company posted revenue and earnings that modestly surpassed consensus estimates.

Quarterly performance

Tower reported fourth-quarter revenue of $440 million, representing 14% growth year-over-year and 11% sequential growth, a performance described as slightly above consensus. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.78 per share, beating analyst expectations by $0.10. For the full year, the company recorded $1.57 billion in revenue with a reported gross profit margin of 23.23%, according to InvestingPro data.

Drivers of growth

The company attributed much of its expansion to strength in its RF Infrastructure segment focused on AI data center demand, with particular emphasis on its silicon photonics business. Tower is said to hold roughly an 85% market share in silicon photonics, a position that the firm and analysts point to as a key contributor to both revenue and margin improvement. Fourth-quarter gross margin rose by 320 basis points sequentially and 430 basis points year-over-year.

Balance sheet and market position

With a market capitalization now exceeding $14.6 billion, Tower operates with modest leverage; its debt-to-equity ratio stands at just 0.06. InvestingPro data shows the stock has returned about 195% over the past year, though those same Fair Value estimates indicate the shares may be trading above intrinsic value.

Guidance and outlook

For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Tower guided revenue of $412 million, which is above the consensus estimate of $408 million. The company characterized that quarter as the seasonal trough for the year and projected sequential revenue and profit growth through fiscal 2026. Analysts are modeling significant earnings growth for the year, with consensus EPS of $2.94 for fiscal 2026 versus reported diluted EPS of $1.94 for the last twelve months.

Analyst view on margins and product mix

Benchmark highlighted the firm’s higher incremental margins and expects these to average above the approximately 55% incremental margin reported in the fourth quarter, pointing to the higher-margin optical infrastructure product mix as a supporting factor. InvestingPro additionally lists 13 investment observations for TSEM, including items on liquidity, debt metrics, and long-term performance measures intended to help investors evaluate the company.

Context from recent company statements

In related disclosures, Tower Semiconductor reported record revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company linked the strong outturn to its silicon photonics operations and improved profitability, with results described as evidence of robust operational execution within a competitive market. Analysts had expected strong results, but the actual performance exceeded those projections. Company commentary and the reported numbers together indicate the firm is leveraging its specialty foundry capabilities effectively, and investors are watching the firm’s ongoing expansion in silicon photonics closely.

What this means for investors

Benchmark’s move to set a $165 price target reflects confidence in Tower’s growth trajectory tied to silicon photonics and optical infrastructure, as well as the potential for above-average incremental margins. At the same time, InvestingPro signals that the stock’s strong recent run—about a 195% return over the past year—means market pricing may be above current Fair Value assessments, which is a relevant consideration for valuation-focused investors.


Note: Financial figures, analyst projections, and market statistics in this report are taken from company disclosures, Benchmark’s note, and InvestingPro data as provided in the disclosures reviewed.

Risks

  • Valuation risk: InvestingPro indicates the stock has returned roughly 195% over the past year and may be trading above current Fair Value estimates, which could affect near-term downside if sentiment shifts.
  • Execution and market concentration: Heavy reliance on the silicon photonics market, where Tower holds approximately an 85% share, creates exposure to demand fluctuations in that segment and the broader AI data center market.
  • Seasonality and guidance reliance: The company identified Q1 2026 as the seasonal trough and projected sequential growth through fiscal 2026; missing those projections could pressure sentiment and share performance.

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