Analyst Ratings February 9, 2026

Benchmark Keeps Buy Rating on J&J Snack Foods as Transformation Weighs on Revenue

Firm retains $130 price target after mixed fiscal Q1 2026 results as Project Apollo reshapes the business

By Priya Menon JJSF
Benchmark Keeps Buy Rating on J&J Snack Foods as Transformation Weighs on Revenue
JJSF

Benchmark Research kept a Buy rating and $130 price target on J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) after the company reported mixed fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on February 3. Revenue fell short of consensus amid accelerated facility consolidation and the faster-than-expected elimination of unprofitable commodity bakery sales under Project Apollo, while gross profit beat expectations and adjusted EBITDA matched forecasts.

Key Points

  • Benchmark retained Buy rating and $130 price target on J&J Snack Foods after Q1 2026 results
  • Revenue missed consensus due to accelerated facility consolidation and elimination of unprofitable bakery revenues under Project Apollo
  • Gross profit beat expectations while adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA were mixed versus different consensus measures

Benchmark Research maintained its Buy recommendation and upheld a $130.00 price target on J&J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) following the company’s fiscal first-quarter 2026 financial disclosure on February 3.

For the quarter, J&J Snack Foods reported revenue of $344 million, below the consensus estimate of $360 million. Benchmark attributed the shortfall to an acceleration of planned facility consolidation and a quicker-than-expected removal of unprofitable commodity bakery revenues as part of the company’s Project Apollo transformation initiative.

Despite the revenue decline, the company produced gross profit of $96 million, which surpassed Benchmark’s internal projection of $94 million. Benchmark noted that this stronger-than-expected gross profit performance reflected management’s deliberate elimination of low-margin bakery revenues.

The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.33 and adjusted EBITDA of $28 million for the quarter. Those results compared with consensus estimates of $0.36 for adjusted EPS and $28 million for adjusted EBITDA. Benchmark also noted an adjustment for $1 million in product disposal costs tied to facility consolidation work.

Separate company-reported figures in recent disclosures showed fiscal Q1 2026 revenue of $343.8 million, beneath a projected $365.79 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.33 versus an anticipated $0.37. The release of these figures drew a negative reaction from investors. The company’s results remain a focal point for analysts and market participants monitoring near-term financial performance.

Benchmark described itself as increasingly confident that management is pursuing an aggressive repositioning of the company’s margin and profitability profile during fiscal 2026, a shift the firm believes should support improved results in fiscal 2027 and beyond. There were no reported changes to analyst ratings or any announced merger activity in connection with these disclosures.


Key takeaways

  • Benchmark retained a Buy rating and a $130.00 price target on J&J Snack Foods after Q1 2026 results.
  • Revenue missed consensus as facility consolidation and the accelerated elimination of unprofitable bakery revenues under Project Apollo weighed on top-line figures.
  • Gross profit exceeded Benchmark’s forecast, while adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA were mixed against different consensus measures.

Sectors impacted: Consumer Staples, Food Manufacturing, Equity Analysts.


Risks and uncertainties

  • Ongoing facility consolidation may continue to suppress near-term revenue as operations are rationalized - this affects production and manufacturing sectors tied to the company.
  • Further elimination of low-margin commodity bakery revenues could reduce top-line figures before operating-margin improvements are realized - relevant to packaged foods and retail customers.
  • Investor sensitivity to the company’s quarterly results may persist given mixed beats and misses across profit and revenue metrics - relevant to equity markets and analyst coverage.

These results and Benchmark’s commentary leave a mixed picture: management’s Project Apollo actions have produced a beat in gross profit while creating short-term revenue pressure. Benchmark’s maintained Buy rating signals confidence in the longer-term aim of improving margins and profitability, while market reactions reflect short-term concerns about the pace and cost of the transformation.

Risks

  • Facility consolidation may continue to depress near-term revenue, affecting production and manufacturing sectors
  • Elimination of low-margin bakery revenues could lower top-line results before margin improvements are realized, impacting packaged foods and retail markets
  • Investor reactions to mixed quarterly metrics could pressure the stock and analyst coverage in the short term

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