Stock Markets April 28, 2026 06:19 AM

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners posts robust Q1 volume and sales gains, keeps full-year targets

Strong energy growth and hedging progress underpin reaffirmed guidance for 2026

By Caleb Monroe CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners posts robust Q1 volume and sales gains, keeps full-year targets
CCEP

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners reported first quarter 2026 organic volume growth of 8.5% and sales growth of 9.4%, both ahead of analyst expectations. The company reiterated full-year revenue and operating income guidance while highlighting significant energy category expansion and commodity hedging coverage.

Key Points

  • Q1 2026 organic volume growth of 8.5% and sales growth of 9.4%, both above analyst expectations.
  • Energy category volumes grew 21.3% with 250 basis points of market share gains; group non-alcoholic ready-to-drink value share up 30 basis points year-to-date.
  • Company reaffirmed full-year guidance: revenue growth 3% to 4%, operating income growth ~7%, comparable free cash flow at least c1.7 billion, and capex about 5% of revenue.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners reported solid top-line and volume expansion in the first quarter of 2026, with organic volumes rising 8.5% and sales climbing 9.4%, each exceeding analyst forecasts of 7.5% and 8.9% respectively. The company said it would maintain its full-year guidance following the quarter.

Regional performance was strong across Europe and Asia Pacific. In Europe, volumes grew 8.4% and sales increased 9.8%, versus consensus estimates of 7.0% for volumes and 9.5% for sales. The Asia Pacific region delivered volume growth of 8.7% and sales growth of 8.6%, ahead of expectations of 8.3% and 7.4% respectively.

When normalizing for selling-day differences, underlying growth was more moderate: volumes rose 1.6% and sales were up 2.5%. Separately, sales growth adjusted to exclude the impact of the Beam exit reached 3.5%.

The energy category was a standout, with volumes increasing 21.3% and market share expanding by 250 basis points. At the group level the firm has gained 30 basis points in year-to-date non-alcoholic ready-to-drink value share, with Europe contributing a 30 basis point increase and Asia Pacific reported as flat in that metric.

Financial guidance remained unchanged: the company reiterated expectations for full-year revenue growth of 3% to 4% and operating income growth of approximately 7%. Comparable free cash flow is anticipated to be at least c1.7 billion, and capital expenditure is forecast at roughly 5% of revenue.

On cost management, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners said it has hedged about 85% of its commodity exposure, and it expects cost of goods sold on a per unit case basis to increase by around 1.5%.

Shareholder returns progressed through the execution of the company's buyback program: 500 million of the planned 1 billion repurchase has been completed. The remaining 500 million is subject to shareholder approval at the 2026 annual general meeting.


Overall, the quarter combined outperformance of consensus for volumes and sales with continued emphasis on shareholder returns, commodity hedging and targeted category growth, most notably in energy drinks.

Risks

  • Cost pressure: the company expects cost of goods sold per unit case to increase by around 1.5%, which could weigh on margins if not offset by pricing or mix - impacting consumer goods and retail sectors.
  • Remaining buyback requires shareholder approval: 500 million of the 1 billion repurchase is outstanding and contingent on approval at the 2026 annual general meeting - relevant to investors and equity markets.
  • Commodity exposure: although approximately 85% of commodity exposure is hedged, unhedged exposure could still introduce cost volatility - a risk to consumer packaged goods margins.

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