Economy May 15, 2026 02:45 PM

Sri Lanka’s Services and Manufacturing Move Deep into Contraction in April

Central Bank data show sharp month-to-month falls in PMIs, with new orders, production and employment weakening across both sectors

By Derek Hwang

Data released by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka show both the services and manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) slipped below the 50 threshold in April, signaling contraction. The services PMI fell to 46.7 from 59.4 in March, while the manufacturing PMI dropped to 42.6 from 66.7. Key subcomponents across the two surveys - including new business, production and employment - recorded marked declines.

Sri Lanka’s Services and Manufacturing Move Deep into Contraction in April

Key Points

  • Both services and manufacturing PMIs fell below 50 in April: services PMI 46.7 (from 59.4) and manufacturing PMI 42.6 (from 66.7).
  • Services subcomponents: new business 48.9 (from 57.6), employment 44.4 (from 54.2), backlog of work 48.8 (from 48.1), expectations 65.9 (from 57.1).
  • Manufacturing subcomponents: new orders 36.4 (from 69.9), production 30.5 (from 68.8), employment 47.0 (from 55.9), stock of purchases 44.0 (from 59.9), suppliers' delivery time 68.7 (from 75.5).

Overview

Monthly figures published by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka indicate that both the services and manufacturing sectors recorded PMI readings below the 50 mark in April, a conventional cut-off that denotes contraction. The services sector PMI fell to 46.7 in April from 59.4 in March. The manufacturing PMI declined to 42.6 in April, down from 66.7 in March.


Services sector details

The services-sector subindexes reflected broad-based weakness. New business decreased to 48.9 in April from 57.6 in March, and employment in the sector moved down to 44.4 from 54.2. The backlog of work was recorded at 48.8, slightly higher than March's 48.1 reading but still below the expansionary threshold. Despite the declines in current activity measures, expectations for future activity in the services sector rose to 65.9 in April from 57.1 in the previous month.


Manufacturing sector details

Manufacturing showed pronounced drops across several components. New orders fell to 36.4 in April from 69.9 in March, while production declined sharply to 30.5 from 68.8. Employment in manufacturing eased to 47.0, down from 55.9 in March. Stocks of purchases reduced to 44.0 from 59.9. Suppliers' delivery time remained elevated at 68.7 in April, though it was lower than March's 75.5 reading.


Context and reading the readings

The reported PMIs and subcomponents present a consistent picture across both sectors for April: measures tied to incoming orders, output and hiring all moved lower month-to-month. At the same time, the services sector showed a notable uptick in expectations for activity. The Central Bank's released data provide the numerical snapshot; they do not include commentary beyond the reported index levels and their month-to-month changes.


Summary takeaway

April's PMIs show contraction in both services and manufacturing, with several core indicators - new business, production and employment - weakening sharply from March's readings. Expectations in services improved even as most current activity metrics deteriorated. These index results are the figures published by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka and reflect the survey responses for April.

Risks

  • Declines in new business and production in manufacturing point to downside risk for industrial output and related employment in the sector.
  • Lower employment and new business readings in services signal potential weakness in service-sector activity and labor demand.
  • Sustained contraction across both sectors could weigh on aggregate economic activity if the trends persist, as indicated by the PMI subcomponents.

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