MLCO February 12, 2026

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited Q4 2025 Earnings Call - Macau-led recovery lifts group EBITDA and keeps costs tight

Summary

Melco closed 2025 with a clear Macau-driven recovery and disciplined cost control. Group property EBITDA for the year reached $1.4 billion, up 17% versus 2024, with Macau property EBITDA surging 25% for the full year and 24% in Q4. Management flagged a strong start to 2026, with Macau market GGR up 24% year-over-year and improving market share early in the year.

The company is pushing a product refresh in 2026, led by a renovated Countdown Hotel (opening phased from Q3 2026) and retail and F&B upgrades, funded inside a manageable $450 million capex envelope. Liquidity and deleveraging are front and center: available liquidity sits at roughly $2.4 billion, consolidated cash of $1.2 billion, and about $400 million of debt repaid in 2025. Guidance and one-offs were explicit, so the picture is granular enough to trade around risk and optionality rather than blind optimism.

Key Takeaways

  • Full-year 2025 group property EBITDA was $1.4 billion, up 17% year-over-year.
  • Q4 2025 adjusted property EBITDA grew 12% year-over-year to approximately $331 million, or $323 million when adjusted for VIP hold.
  • Macau was the engine: Q4 Macau property EBITDA rose 24% year-over-year, and full-year Macau property EBITDA was up 25% versus 2024.
  • Management reports a strong start to 2026: Macau market GGR up about 24% year-over-year and Melco gaining market share early in the year.
  • House of Dancing Water, reopened in May 2025, materially increased property visitation, with roughly 1,800 to 1,900 attendees per show, twice daily on five days a week; it boosts F&B and non-gaming spend but direct conversion to gaming is limited and hard to quantify.
  • Q4 Macau operating expense rose due to discrete events, including the China National Games, Studio City 10th anniversary and the Macau Grand Prix; excluding those events and the show, Macau OpEx was about $3.1 million per day in Q4 and is expected to be roughly $3.2 million per day in Q1 2026.
  • Adjustments included an approximately $5 million bad debt provision tied to a settlement with a former junket operator, and about $6 million in anniversary-related spend; management said Q4 property EBITDA margin would have exceeded 27% absent those event-driven costs.
  • Liquidity and leverage picture is solid: available liquidity near $2.4 billion, consolidated cash on hand about $1.2 billion, and approximately $400 million of debt repaid during 2025. The group says it has no material debt maturing in 2026.
  • Melco redeemed the remaining $358 million of senior notes due 2026 in Q4 and continued early repayments in 2026, including $35 million in January and a further $25 million planned.
  • Trademark license with Melco International formalized: fee was 1% of City of Dreams Macau gross revenues in 2025 (about $33 million), increasing to 1.5% from Q1 2026; the agreement runs 10 years from Jan 1, 2024 with annual renewals.
  • CapEx guide for 2026 is $450 million, including roughly $100 million for the Countdown Hotel renovation; expected capex split is about $375 million in Macau, and $35 million to $40 million each in Manila and Cyprus.
  • City of Dreams Manila strategic review concluded no option unlocked full value, so Melco will keep the asset and may revisit alternatives later; Manila faced competitive pressure in Q4 but tailwinds exist, such as visa-free travel for Chinese nationals and airport upgrades.
  • City of Dreams Mediterranean and satellite casinos in Cyprus delivered a 78% year-over-year jump in property EBITDA to $21 million in Q4, indicating strong seasonal resilience.
  • Non-operating guidance for Q1 2026: depreciation and amortization $140 million to $145 million, corporate expense about $35 million, consolidated net interest expense $115 million to $120 million (includes ~ $6 million finance liability interest and ~ $5 million finance lease interest).
  • Sri Lanka operations are in progressive ramp-up with encouraging early signs in 2026, but remain nascent compared with core markets.

Full Transcript

Speaker 5: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in the fourth quarter of 2025 earnings conference call of Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the call, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Jeanny Kim, Senior Vice President, Group Treasurer of Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited. Please go ahead.

Jeanny Kim, Senior Vice President, Group Treasurer, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining us today for our fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. On the call are Lawrence Ho, Geoffrey Davis, Evan Winkler, and our property presidents in Macau, Manila, and Cyprus. Before we get started, please note that today’s discussion may contain forward-looking statements made under the safe harbor provision of federal securities laws. Our actual results could differ from our anticipated results. In addition, we may discuss non-GAAP measures. A definition and reconciliation of each of these measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures are included in the earnings release. Finally, please note that our supplementary earnings slides are posted on our investor relations website. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Mr. Lawrence Ho.

Lawrence Ho, CEO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Thank you, Jeanny, and thank you all for joining us today. 2025 was a year of growth and recovery, supported by disciplined cost management and margin expansion. We recorded $1.4 billion in group property EBITDA for the full year of 2025, growing by 17% compared to 2024. In Macau, our dedicated efforts to enhance the customer experience have proven to be a successful strategic focus, with fourth quarter Macau property EBITDA growing 24% year-over-year and full year Macau property EBITDA growing 25% compared to 2024. We’ve had a strong start to 2026, with Macau market GGR up by 24% year-over-year, and our market share increasing so far in the first quarter of 2026. Chinese New Year looks strong, with higher yielding cash ADRs compared to 2025.

We have a pipeline of new initiatives that we’re planning to implement in 2026 to further differentiate our offerings, with the largest project being the opening of the renovated Countdown Hotel. We are on track to progressively start opening in the third quarter of 2026. The completed hotel is expected to introduce a truly distinctive experience and set a new benchmark in Macau. We have also started on a revamp of the retail area at COD and have plans to upgrade our F&B offerings, continuing to further enhance our product quality. In the Philippines, competitive pressures and industry headwinds continue to impact our performance in the fourth quarter of 2025. However, we’re encouraged by the positive developments in that market, including visa-free travel for Chinese nationals, upgrades to the Manila Airport to facilitate increasing international tourism, and rationalization of the online gaming market.

We’ve also concluded our evaluation of the strategic alternatives for COD Manila. Although we considered various alternatives, we did not feel that any of those options would allow the value and potential of the property to be fully realized. We’re confident that business will rebound, and we may reevaluate the situation in the future. Moving on to Cyprus. City of Dreams Mediterranean and the satellite casinos in Cyprus achieved 78% year-over-year growth in property EBITDA to $21 million for the fourth quarter of 2025, despite seasonality typically being slower in these months. And finally, in Sri Lanka, we continue to focus our efforts to progressively ramp up operations and have seen promising green shoots so far in 2026. With that, I turn the call over to Jeff.

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Thank you, Lawrence. Our group-wide adjusted property EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2025 grew 12% year-over-year to approximately $331 million. Adjusted for VIP hold, our property EBITDA was approximately $323 million. Favorable win rates at COD Macau and COD Manila had positive impacts on our property EBITDA by approximately $7 million and $3 million, respectively. As we had guided in the prior quarterly call, OpEx in Macau increased in the fourth quarter compared to the prior quarter, primarily due to events including the China National Games, Studio City’s 10th anniversary, and the Macau Grand Prix. Excluding these fourth quarter events, as well as House of Dancing Water, Macau OpEx was approximately $3.1 million per day.

EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2025 was also impacted by additional bad debt provisions that were taken as a result of a settlement that we reached with one of the previous junket operators. Adjusting for these event-driven costs, Macau’s property EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter of 2025 would have been over 27% on an actual basis. Looking forward to the first quarter of 2026, we expect Macau daily OpEx, excluding House of Dancing Water, to come in at approximately $3.2 million, given increased marketing activity around Chinese New Year and new brand campaigns across our Macau properties. Turning to our balance sheet, our liquidity position remains robust. We had available liquidity of approximately $2.4 billion, with consolidated cash on hand of approximately $1.2 billion as of the end of 2025....

Melco, excluding its operations at Studio City, the Philippines, Cyprus, and Sri Lanka, accounted for approximately $550 million of the consolidated cash on hand. In the fourth quarter of 2025, Melco redeemed the remaining $358 million of the senior notes due 2026. In addition, we repaid $210 million in debt at Melco and $32 million at Studio City. In total, the Melco Group paid down approximately $400 million of debt over the course of 2025, and we continued to reduce debt in 2026. Melco has repaid $35 million in debt in January and will repay a further $25 million this month. The group does not have any material amount of debt maturing in 2026.

Before we move on to the non-operating line items, we thought it would be helpful to take a few minutes to provide information on the trademarks license agreement with Melco International. Melco International owns and manages certain trademarks utilized by Melco Resorts and its operations. The terms of the trademarks license agreement were negotiated on an arm’s length basis, factoring in the ranges of fees typically observed in the industry. The agreement has an initial term of 10 years, which commenced on January 1, 2024, and thereafter is automatically renewed for consecutive periods of 12 months, unless either party gives prior notice of non-renewal. Under the agreement, the trademark license fee payable is up to 1.5% of the gross revenues of City of Dreams, Macau, excluding Grand Hyatt, unless agreed otherwise by the parties to the agreement.

The trademark license fee was 1% in 2025 and will increase to 1.5% from the first quarter of 2026. The agreement does not include an annual cap, but the total fees for the full year of 2025 amounted to approximately $33 million, dramatically lower than those of our peers. The trademarks owned by Melco International are integral to the long-term strategy and brand identity of Melco Resorts, and the formalized agreement facilitates a standard approach as we continue to grow and expand the portfolio. And finally, as we normally do, we’ll give you some guidance on non-operating line items for the upcoming first quarter of 2026. Total depreciation and amortization expense is expected to be approximately $140 million-$145 million.

Corporate expense is expected to come in at approximately $35 million, and consolidated net interest expense is expected to be approximately $115 million-$120 million. This includes finance liability interest of around $6 million, relating to fees payable in relation to the Macau gaming concession and the Cyprus gaming license, and finance lease interest of approximately $5 million relating to City of Dreams Manila. That concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, back to you for the Q&A.

Speaker 5: Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star two. If you’re on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your questions. We do ask that you please limit yourself to one question. Today’s first question comes from Joe Stauff at Susquehanna. Please go ahead.

Joe Stauff, Analyst, Susquehanna: Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to ask about the additional traffic, obviously, being generated by House of Dancing Water, and kind of where you are with respect to being able to convert, you know, that additional daily visitation into both gaming and obviously other parts of your business. You know, what, what is the opportunity from here as we think about that?

Lawrence Ho, CEO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Hey, hi. Hi, Joe, it’s Lawrence. So since we’ve opened House of Dancing Water in May, reopened House of Dancing Water in May of last year, we’ve seen meaningful uptick in property visitation. You know, the show is open pretty much twice a day for five days of the week, and during those days, it adds, you know, each show is about 1,800, 1,900 people. So that drives additional headcount into the property. I think we’re seeing meaningfully good spend across non-gaming, during and, you know, after the show. And even on our mass drop, I think from pre-May to post-May, we had seen a, you know, a decent uptick. I think that’s kind of a as with any non-gaming entertainment, concerts, attractions in Macau, you know, how does that...

You know, how can we directly track that scientifically? I don’t think we have an answer for that. I’ll maybe let Evan talk about it, but I think overall, we see it’s driving traffic and energy into the building, and you know-

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: It’s a little more difficult from a direct drive standpoint, as Lawrence just pointed out. It’s very helpful in activating the property. We do see a big uptick, obviously, in food and beverage spending on property during the show. Generally, when people are coming from outside the property to the show for that initial event, sometimes they’re coming with family and friends, so a very small percentage go from that directly to gaming. The benefit we have is it does introduce thousands of more people with each show to the property and to COD to our product to food and beverage. And so I think over time, it’s generating repeat visits back to the property, but it’s hard to go from who exited the show that day to who comes back later on.

So I think we drive, but we don’t have a direct formula that we can give you, because if you look at, you know, the individual people coming out of the show on the night that they go to show to see the show, that’s not a high number. But overall, we’re seeing uplift in the business.

John Decree, Analyst, CBRE: Okay, understand. Thanks, Lawrence. Evan?

Speaker 5: Thank you. And our next question today comes from Timothy Chao at Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Timothy Chao, Analyst, Citigroup: Hi, management. Excuse me, can I, listen, can you hear me clearly, please?

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Yes, we can hear you.

Timothy Chao, Analyst, Citigroup: All right. Oh, hi. Sorry, so question for me. What is your view on the competitive intensity in Macau? And more specifically, what are your expectation on your EBITDA margins, particularly in Macau this year, please? Thank you.

Lawrence Ho, CEO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Hey, Timothy, it’s Lawrence. So maybe I’ll start, and then I’ll hand it over to Evan and Jeff. You know, I think the competition is still very intense in Macau, but can be expected. I would say that we anticipate this level of competition to be what we will, you know, expect for the rest of the year. In terms of, you know, mass is still growing, so, you know, I think we’re comfortable with our margin, and, you know, I think we’ve been very, very disciplined throughout 2025 in terms of our reinvestment, and we’ve seen some of our competitors ratchet it up throughout the year.

Timothy Chao, Analyst, Citigroup: Mm-hmm.

Lawrence Ho, CEO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: I think we’re. I don’t know, unless there’s anything you want to supplement, Evan.

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: No, look, I think from where we’re sitting, coming out of Q4 and into this quarter, we’re not seeing a ratchet up in terms of levels of spend directly on gaming programs from where we are now. Competition remains, as Lawrence said, you know, intense within the marketplace. We’re not looking at any catalyst that would immediately bring that down. The hope that we always have is, you know, as people look at things, that you have easing up among players. So as Lawrence has said, and I’ve said in the past, we don’t ever drive up in the marketplace. We tend to be very disciplined. We’ll make strategic moves at times when we need to look at market share or move around with individual segments.

But we certainly would never lead the market up. Based on what we’re seeing now, I think we’re stable. I don’t see anything that’s gonna bring us down in the near term, but I also don’t see anything that’s gonna ratchet it up.

Lawrence Ho, CEO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: I think on, you know, margin, we’ve done a pretty good job in terms of managing our operating costs throughout 2025. That’s part of the company philosophy as well. You know, I think we’ve, that will, you’ll see that ongoing throughout 2026.

Timothy Chao, Analyst, Citigroup: Thank you so much. Thank you for the color.

Speaker 5: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star then one. Our next question today comes from DS Kim at JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

DS Kim, Analyst, JP Morgan: Hi, everyone, good evening and, happy New Year of the Horse. My first question is regarding the, operating expense. As Jeff mentioned earlier, I think we had quite a bit of, non-recurring items this quarter, you know, 10-year anniversary, National Games, and even junket-related bad debt. And, can you help quantifying each of this in dollar term for us, if it’s possible? And, can I confirm, the spending related to National Games and, Grand Prix were included in, OpEx, operating expense above EBITDA line and not, in the corporate expense?

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Those expenses are in our property margins. The additional bad debt was approximately $5 million for the quarter, and we expect that to come back down to more normal levels going forward. And then we had about $6 million for the anniversary.

Speaker 5: Thank you. And our next question today comes from John Decree at CBRE. Please go ahead.

John Decree, Analyst, CBRE: Hi, good evening, everyone. Maybe just one on CapEx. Jeff, I apologize if I missed it. Did you give us the CapEx number for the year? You know, could you break it out for major projects, maybe by COD or Studio City at the property level, what we should expect?

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Sure. So, our total CapEx for this year, which reflects a little bit of carryforward from money we anticipated spending in 2025, that’s pushed into 2026, the total is $450 million. The only material one that I would call out would be the Countdown Hotel, which is approximately $100 million for 2026. Broken out by jurisdiction, the total CapEx in Macau is roughly $375 million, $35 million-$40 million in Manila, $35 million-$40 million in Cyprus.

John Decree, Analyst, CBRE: Perfect. Thanks, Jeff, I appreciate it.

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: You’re welcome.

Speaker 5: Thank you. That concludes the question and answer session. I’d like to turn the conference back over to Jeanny Kim for any closing remarks.

Lawrence Ho, CEO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining. We will see you next quarter.

Geoffrey Davis, CFO, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: Thank you.

Speaker 5: Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.