Stock Markets May 15, 2026 10:56 AM

Iran Conflict Redirects Crude Demand to Nigeria, Oando Executive Says

Supply concerns in the Gulf lift interest in West African production as Oando plans new wells and regional expansion

By Leila Farooq

Oando Energy reports increased revenue and stronger demand from Europe and Asia following disruption to Gulf operations tied to the Iran conflict. The company forecasts sustained oil prices in the $70-$80 range and plans to increase output through new drilling and regional asset pursuits, while seeking up to $750 million in capital to support growth.

Iran Conflict Redirects Crude Demand to Nigeria, Oando Executive Says

Key Points

  • Oando is seeing increased revenue and demand from Europe and Asia as buyers shift away from Gulf supplies following the Iran conflict - sectors impacted include oil and gas markets and international crude trading.
  • The company produced an average 32,500 barrels per day in 2025 and plans to add about 10,000 bpd by drilling seven new wells this year - impacting upstream production and local Niger Delta operations.
  • Oando is pursuing regional growth, signing a production-sharing contract in Angola's Kwanza Basin and expressing interest in assets across West Africa and in Guyana and Suriname - relevant to exploration and cross-border oil investment activity.

Nigerian oil producer Oando Energy is experiencing a rise in revenue as buyers look beyond the Gulf, according to comments made by Group Chief Executive Wale Tinubu. Speaking on the sidelines of the Africa CEO Forum in Kigali, Tinubu said the Iran conflict has undermined the Gulf's standing as a reliably safe place to operate, prompting customers to reconsider supply sources.

Tinubu said disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz have eroded the premium that producers in the Middle East enjoyed for operating in what was perceived as a stable hydrocarbon-producing environment. That shift, he said, is contributing to stronger interest in Nigerian output from markets in Europe and Asia.

Oando currently operates oil and gas facilities in Nigeria's Niger Delta and reported average production of 32,500 barrels per day in 2025. In response to heightened demand, the company intends to drill seven new wells before the end of the year, a program Tinubu says will boost output by about 10,000 barrels per day.

On pricing, Tinubu projected that oil prices will hold in the $70 to $80 per barrel range even after hostilities end, reasoning that it will take time for the suppliers affected by the conflict to fully restore lost production.

To fund its expansion and planned acquisitions, Oando aims to raise up to $750 million over the remainder of 2026 through a combination of debt and some equity, Tinubu said. The company is also pursuing growth beyond Nigeria: it has signed a production-sharing contract in Angola for an onshore block in the Kwanza Basin, and remains interested in assets across West Africa and potentially as far afield as Guyana and Suriname.


Operational response and regional strategy

Oando's planned drilling program and its international contract activity reflect a dual approach: increasing short-term domestic supply while building a broader geographic footprint. The company’s moves aim to capture buyers seeking alternatives to Gulf crude amid concerns about the security and reliability of Middle Eastern production.

Market outlook noted by management

Management’s outlook assumes a multi-month runway before affected producers can restore output fully, a dynamic they expect will support elevated price levels in the near to medium term. The company’s financing plan for 2026 is intended to back the accelerated drilling program and any acquisition opportunities that arise.

Questions about the timing of supply restoration, the execution of the planned financing, and the pace of Oando’s international expansion remain relevant to how the company’s revenue and production profile will evolve.

Risks

  • The duration and impact of the Iran-related hostilities are uncertain; management notes it will take time for affected producers to restore output, which affects supply dynamics and price stability - affecting global oil markets and shipping routes.
  • Oando has set a target to raise up to $750 million over the remainder of 2026 via debt and some equity to support drilling and acquisitions; the company’s ability to secure this capital will influence its expansion plans - relevant to capital markets and energy sector financing.
  • Operational and geopolitical uncertainties in production regions, including perceptions of safety in the Gulf and the logistics of expanding in multiple jurisdictions, could affect supply reliability and project timelines - impacting upstream operators and regional investment.

More from Stock Markets

Latin American Markets Slide as Dollar Strengthens and Yields Rise May 15, 2026 Drake's 43-Track Triple Release Spurs Questions About Contract Exit May 15, 2026 Warsaw Shares Retreat as WIG30 Slides 2.01%; Material, Energy and Banking Names Weigh May 15, 2026 Istanbul market closes lower as telecoms, insurance and banks drag BIST 100 down 1.89% May 15, 2026 China Signals Support for Broader Commercial Partnership With Boeing May 15, 2026