Economy June 18, 2026 06:24 AM

SNB Chair Says Middle East Risk Remains Elevated, Signals Greater FX Intervention Readiness

Martin Schlegel says recent developments were assessed ahead of the policy decision and that the franc has eased slightly since the last meeting

By Ajmal Hussain
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Swiss National Bank Chairman Martin Schlegel told reporters that uncertainty stemming from the Middle East remains high and that the central bank reviewed recent events prior to completing its monetary policy decision. He warned deescalation could be temporary, said energy markets are heavily affected, and indicated the SNB's readiness to step into foreign exchange markets has increased if necessary. The franc has weakened slightly since the prior meeting, and the bank sees multiple factors, including interest rate differentials with the ECB, shaping the exchange rate. Schlegel also said there are no plans to delist the Swiss National Bank.

SNB Chair Says Middle East Risk Remains Elevated, Signals Greater FX Intervention Readiness
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Key Points

  • Middle East uncertainty remains elevated and is a significant influence on energy markets - impacts energy and commodity sectors.
  • SNB assessed recent developments before completing its monetary policy decision and noted the franc has weakened slightly since the last meeting - impacts foreign exchange markets and financial institutions.
  • The central bank's readiness to intervene in FX markets is higher if necessary, with exchange rates also affected by interest rate differentials with the ECB - impacts currency markets and cross-border capital flows.

Swiss National Bank Chairman Martin Schlegel said today that the situation in the Middle East continues to be marked by significant uncertainty and that the central bank accounted for recent developments before finalizing its monetary policy decision.

"The situation is still very uncertain," Schlegel said when asked specifically about the U.S.-Iran peace deal, adding that it could not be ruled out that any apparent deescalation is only temporary. He emphasized that overall uncertainty remains elevated and that energy markets are largely shaped by conditions in the Middle East. He further noted that geopolitical and trade uncertainty is very high.

On the question of currency market action, Schlegel said the SNB's readiness to intervene in the foreign exchange market is higher if required, though he cautioned it is hard to say whether that readiness is greater or smaller than before. He also observed that the franc has weakened slightly since the bank's last meeting.

Schlegel stressed that the bank assesses the entire situation when considering interventions. He said many elements feed into the exchange rate, including the interest rate differential with the European Central Bank and the SNB's increased willingness to intervene in FX markets.

Looking ahead, the chairman said future developments are contingent on how the situation in the Middle East evolves. He also made clear that there are no plans to delist the Swiss National Bank.

The comments followed the SNB's recent policy decision, which incorporated an evaluation of geopolitical developments. Schlegel's remarks underlined the bank's view that external risks, particularly in energy and trade channels, remain a prominent influence on monetary and currency dynamics.

Risks

  • Deescalation in the Middle East may be temporary, sustaining volatility in energy markets and broader financial conditions - affects energy producers, importers, and markets tied to oil and gas.
  • Persistent geopolitical and trade uncertainty could continue to exert pressure on exchange rates and monetary policy choices - affects exporters, importers, and banking sectors dependent on currency stability.

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