Stock Markets February 19, 2026

Mister Car Wash to Go Private at $7 a Share; Analysts Downgrade on Deal Terms

Leonard Green to buy remaining stake at $7, valuing the business at about $3.1 billion including net debt; Guggenheim and Mizuho move to Neutral

By Marcus Reed
Mister Car Wash to Go Private at $7 a Share; Analysts Downgrade on Deal Terms

Mister Car Wash agreed to be taken private in a $7 per share all-cash transaction led by majority owner Leonard Green & Partners. The deal, which values the company at approximately $3.1 billion including about $770 million of net debt, prompted downgrades from Guggenheim and Mizuho. The offer is roughly 9 times last twelve months EBITDA of $345 million and follows a roughly 16% intraday share gain after the announcement.

Key Points

  • Leonard Green & Partners, which owns 67% of Mister Car Wash, will acquire remaining shares at $7 per share, valuing the company at about $3.1 billion including roughly $770 million of net debt.
  • The $7 offer implies about 9 times last twelve months EBITDA of $345 million and prompted a roughly 16% rise in the stock following the announcement.
  • Analysts at Guggenheim and Mizuho downgraded the shares to Neutral and set price targets to the deal level, citing limited public float, persistent share price weakness, and a low likelihood of a competing bid.

Mister Car Wash confirmed terms for a take-private transaction that will see Leonard Green & Partners purchase the remaining publicly held shares at $7 apiece in an all-cash deal. Leonard Green already controls 67% of the company, and the proposed acquisition values the chain at about $3.1 billion when accounting for roughly $770 million of net debt.

The purchase price equates to about 9 times the company's last twelve months EBITDA of $345 million. News of the transaction sent the stock higher by roughly 16% on the trading session following the announcement.

Market analysts immediately adjusted their ratings. Guggenheim moved its recommendation from Buy to Neutral and removed its price target. The firm observed that the public equity market has not embraced the conveyorized car wash model since the company’s $15 initial public offering in 2021, and noted the $7 offer is below its prior $8 target. Guggenheim said a privatization appears sensible in light of sustained share price weakness and a relatively modest public float that limited investor engagement.

Guggenheim also commented on competitive dynamics within the sector, suggesting that financial stress among some rivals could create an opening for Mister Car Wash to expand units and increase marketing investment. Those actions, the firm said, could weigh on near-term profitability but would be simpler to carry out away from public markets.

Mizuho echoed the downgrade decision, cutting its rating to Neutral and lowering its price target to $7 to reflect the transaction price. The bank indicated that the prospects for a competing bid appear low. The acquisition, which received approval from independent members of the board, is expected to close in the first half of 2026.

Both Guggenheim and Mizuho highlighted that the take-private structure would afford management and owners more latitude to invest in new locations and technology, and to pursue acquisitions or portfolio adjustments without the constraints of quarterly earnings scrutiny.


Background on valuation and immediate market reaction:

  • The deal price: $7 per share in cash.
  • Implied enterprise valuation: about $3.1 billion, including approximately $770 million of net debt.
  • Valuation multiple: roughly 9 times LTM EBITDA of $345 million.
  • Market reaction: shares rose about 16% after the announcement.

This transaction signals the end of Mister Car Wash's run as a publicly traded firm for the foreseeable future and transfers control of strategic decisions to its majority private equity owner and consortium partners, subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals tied to the expected first-half-2026 timetable.

Risks

  • Near-term profit pressure - Guggenheim noted that pursuing unit expansion and stepped-up marketing could strain near-term earnings even if such moves are more feasible outside public markets. This impacts the consumer services and capital expenditure outlook for the company.
  • Closing timeline uncertainty - while the transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026, that timetable is contingent on customary closing conditions and approvals, creating execution risk for the deal and related strategic plans.
  • Limited competing bid probability - Mizuho indicated that a rival offer appears unlikely, which may constrain potential upside to the announced price for public shareholders and affect market dynamics in the sector.

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