BROS February 12, 2026

Dutch Bros Inc. Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call - Transaction-Led Surge, Record AUVs and a Clear Runway to 2,029 Shops by 2029

Summary

Dutch Bros closed 2025 with a sprint, not a saunter. Revenue accelerated to $1.64 billion, up 28% year over year, and Adjusted EBITDA jumped 31% to $303 million as transaction growth and elevated new-shop productivity pushed system AUVs to a record $2.1 million. Management is betting the momentum is repeatable, pointing to a bigger pipeline, lower CapEx per shop, and an explicit target of 2,029 shops by 2029 while still keeping a long-term TAM thesis of 7,000 units.

The playbook is clear and layered: paid media plus a nascent CPG platform to expand awareness, Order Ahead and walk-up windows to unlock urban density, and a rapid food rollout that early data pegs to about a 4% comp lift in pilot shops. That said, headwinds are real and measurable. Elevated coffee costs pressured COGS through 2025, with about 200 basis points of COGS pressure expected in Q1 2026 before easing. Management expects full-year 2026 same-store sales of 3% to 5% and Adjusted EBITDA of $355 million to $365 million, while planning at least 181 new shops, including a $20 million Clutch acquisition of 20 convertible sites.

Key Takeaways

  • 2025 total revenues $1.64 billion, up 28% year over year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 31% to $303 million in 2025, outpacing revenue growth and reflecting margin improvement.
  • System-wide AUVs hit a record $2.1 million.
  • System same-shop sales growth was 5.6% for 2025; Q4 system same-shop sales rose 7.7%.
  • Q4 company-operated same-shop sales grew 9.7%, driven by strong transaction growth (Q4 transaction growth 5.4%).
  • The company opened 154 new shops in 2025, bringing system count to 1,136 shops and delivering 16% new-shop growth for the year.
  • Management set an explicit development target of 2,029 shops by 2029 and reiterated a longer-term TAM of about 7,000 shops.
  • New-shop productivity remains elevated, aided by tighter market planning and lower average CapEx per shop, with Q4 2025 average CapEx per shop $1.3 million versus $1.8 million in Q4 2024.
  • Order Ahead reached approximately 14% of transactions in Q4 and has driven walk-up window activation, with walk-up representing roughly 18% of channel mix in Q4.
  • A non-drive-through walk-up shop opened in downtown Los Angeles in late November and has become the company’s top-performing shop to date, with Order Ahead mix more than three times the system average.
  • Dutch Rewards surpassed 15 million members at year-end 2025, with roughly 72% of system transactions attributed to members, and penetration above 70% in each full quarter since Order Ahead launch.
  • The food program scaled from 4 pilot shops to over 300 shops across 11 states by year-end 2025, with early shop results suggesting approximately a 4% comp lift where food is offered.
  • Company-operated contribution margin for 2025 was about 28.9% for the year, representing roughly 400 basis points of expansion since 2022; Q4 company-operated contribution margin was 27.6%.
  • Coffee and commodity cost pressure impacted COGS, with beverage, food, and packaging costs at 27% of company-operated revenue in Q4, 160 basis points unfavorable year over year. Management expects about 200 basis points of total COGS pressure in Q1 2026, stepping down through the year and about 80 basis points for full-year 2026 at midpoint.
  • 2026 guidance: total revenues $2.00 billion to $2.03 billion (+22% to +24%), system same-shop sales growth 3% to 5%, Adjusted EBITDA $355 million to $365 million, and at least 181 system shop openings (includes 20 Clutch conversions).
  • Liquidity position strong at year-end 2025 with approximately $705 million total liquidity, including $269 million cash and $435 million undrawn revolver; company added net cash in 2025 and generated free cash flow for a second consecutive year.
  • Clutch Coffee Bars acquisition for about $20 million (20 locations) is included in 2026 CapEx guide; conversions are relatively low CapEx and expected to open in Q2 and Q3 2026.
  • Labor costs were 26.2% of company-operated revenue in 2025, 90 basis points favorable year over year; occupancy and other costs were 17.2% and are expected to rise as the company shifts more leases to build-to-suit (45% build-to-suit in 2025).
  • Management highlighted a deliberate brand-awareness strategy: continued investment in paid media alongside rollout of CPG (creamers, pods, RTD) to convert awareness into shop visits and lift frequency.
  • New Chief Shops Officer Jennifer Somers hired to scale operations, prioritize barista support, and oversee rollouts and throughput improvements.

Full Transcript

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Dutch Bros Inc. fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call and webcast. This conference call and webcast is being recorded today, February 12, 2026, at 5:00 P.M. Eastern Time, and will be available for replay shortly after it’s concluded. Following the company’s presentation, we will open up the lines for questions, and instructions to queue up will be provided at that time. I would now like to turn the call over to Neil Patel, Dutch Bros Senior Manager, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Neil Patel, Senior Manager, Investor Relations, Dutch Bros Inc.: Good afternoon, and welcome. I’m joined by Christine Barone, CEO and President, and Josh Guenser, CFO. We issued our earnings press release for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, after the market closed today. The earnings press release, along with a supplemental information deck, have been posted to our investor relations website at investors.dutchbros.com. Please be aware that all statements in our prepared remarks and in response to your questions, other than those of historical fact, are forward-looking statements and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that may cause actual results to differ materially. They are qualified by the cautionary statements in our earnings press release and the risk factors in our latest SEC filings, including our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly report on Form 10-Q. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.

We will also reference non-GAAP financial measures on today’s call. As a reminder, non-GAAP measures are neither substitutes for nor superior to measures that are prepared under GAAP. Please review the reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to comparable GAAP results in our earnings press release. During the question and answer portion of today’s call, please limit yourself to one question. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Christine.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Thank you, Neil, and good afternoon, everyone. Dutch Bros remains a powerful growth engine, and as we enter our 5th full year as a public company, our growth story is exceptional, both in terms of the results we are delivering and the expansive future potential that lies ahead. Our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results demonstrate the strong momentum we have in delivering our long-term strategy, and we’re primarily driven by standout transaction growth of 5.4% in Q4. 2025 revenues grew an outstanding 28%, reaching $1.64 billion, and have more than doubled since the end of 2022. Our stellar 2025 performance was driven by 16% new shop growth from 154 new shop openings, along with system same shop sales growth of 5.6% for the year.

2025 new shop productivity remains elevated, as the refinements we undertook in our development process over the course of the past couple of years are clearly evident in our results. Throughout the year, new shop openings were consistently strong in both existing and in newer markets, showing our ability to successfully densify and become the routine while still fostering the brand love to welcome long lines of customers. 2025 Adjusted EBITDA grew 31%, reaching $303 million, and outpaced revenue growth, fueled by exceptional transaction growth and new shop performance. Compelling Four-Wall Economics, with Company-Operated Contribution Margin at 28.9%, representing over 400 basis points of margin expansion since 2022. Over the same time period, Adjusted EBITDA has grown more than threefold to over $300 million, marking a significant milestone over my 3 years at Dutch Bros.

This meaningful achievement underscores the strength of our durable model, reinforcing the confidence I have in the long-term opportunity ahead. Focusing on Q4, our results maintain the strength of the prior three quarters, with broad-based outperformance across the business, across geographies, and across day parts, with our brand continuing to resonate with customers. Q4 total revenues grew 29%, driven by healthy new shop performance, system same-shop sales growth of 7.7%, and company-operated same-shop sales growth of 9.7%, with both of these metrics led by strong transaction growth. System-wide AUVs reached a record $2.1 million, reflecting the strength of our people pipeline, the love for our brand, and the superior development execution engine we’ve refined and built over the past few years.

Against this backdrop of impressive growth, we are transitioning smoothly into the next chapter of the brand’s journey with a clear rallying goal: to reach 2,029 shops in 2029. The progress the team made throughout 2025, including the acceleration of our shop pipeline and investments in our capabilities, leaves me with tremendous confidence in this brand and this team’s ability to drive share taking growth for many years to come. As we leave a very successful 2025 behind and enter 2026 at full speed, I wanted to recognize and sincerely thank our teams for making this past year a resounding success. Our people, the heart of our brand, remain the foundation of our differentiated shop experience.... They’ve been our shining strength for more than 30 years, and our people will continue to drive us forward for years to come.

Our baristas’ ability to deliver a unique experience has been central to our growth and mission of being a fun-loving, mind-blowing company that makes a massive difference, one cup at a time. That commitment continues to be a defining driver of our success. In 2025, we began the year with approximately 400 regional operator candidates in our pipeline and ended with approximately 475, a figure that has nearly doubled since the end of 2022. During that period, we have nearly doubled our system shop count and more than doubled our company-operated shop count, which now represents over 70% of our system shop base.

We believe this pace of expansion and our goal of reaching 2,029 shops in 2029 is only possible with the depth and readiness of our people, who continue to scale our shop footprint with love, energy, and kindness. Turning to shop growth, 2025 was a landmark year, setting the foundation for what’s ahead. We expanded into seven contiguous states, including our entry into North Carolina in Q4, bringing our system shop footprint to 25 states and 1,136 system-wide shops. In 2025, we accelerated the growth of our shop pipeline while significantly lowering our average CapEx per shop, providing improved visibility and confidence for shop openings in future years. During the year, the number of shops in our pipeline accelerated substantially, with shop approvals more than doubling versus 2024.

Given this improved visibility, the road to 2,029 shops in 2029 remains very clear. In Q4, we opened a walk-up shop in downtown Los Angeles. This shop provides a valuable platform for insights into urban, dense corridors where drive-throughs are harder to build. Since opening in late November, this non-drive-through location has been our top-performing shop and has an Order Ahead mix at over 3 times the system average. While still early, these insights position us to be confident on the types of locations where we can be successful. Looking to 2026, momentum is expected to continue. We now expect to open at least 181 new system shops, which includes the recently completed acquisition of 20 Clutch Coffee Bar locations across North and South Carolina.

This conversion opportunity accelerates our presence in the Carolinas and allows us to introduce Dutch Love to these communities beginning later this year. Now, let me share how we are strengthening our competitive advantage through a focused set of foundational transaction-driving initiatives, along with our strategic growth drivers, to broaden access to a wider set of customers and occasions. In 2023, we made a deliberate shift to build a foundational top-of-the-funnel paid advertising engine. The results have been clear. Aided and unaided awareness have meaningfully expanded while still leaving substantial headroom for growth. And now, in its third year, our brand awareness strategy is being deliberately amplified through the rollout of the Dutch Bros CPG platform. Creamers, coffee pods, ground coffee, and ready-to-drink offerings are now available in many retail outlets.

We are very pleased with the initial customer reception and see meaningful potential to continue building this over time. Paired together, paid media and CPG form a scalable, high ROI awareness engine, extending the brand beyond our shops, reinforcing daily relevance while converting awareness into incremental shop visits. We continue to believe brand awareness remains a significant opportunity, making CPG one of our most efficient levers to continue driving durable long-term growth. Our innovations empower our baristas, unlocking near-infinite beverage customizations and deepening the emotional connection we have with our customers. This innovation momentum clearly showed up in Q4 with a highly successful holiday LTO launch, which demonstrated our ability to drive strong customer engagement in the quarter.

In November and December, we reinforced our strategy of driving innovation beyond beverages through impactful merch drops, including the Passenger Princess car magnets and the Little Bros mini figurines, which cleared out within hours of launch. Alongside innovation, our loyalty program continues to scale. Dutch Rewards turns five years old this month, having just surpassed 15 million members at the end of 2025. In 2025, approximately 72% of system transactions were attributed to Dutch Rewards, representing 4 points of improvement versus 2024. Looking ahead to 2026, we expect to continue expanding our customer targeting capabilities, reaching the right customer at the right moment, improving lifetime value, and driving high ROI transaction growth. Together, these foundational initiatives form a long-term engine of innovation, personalization, and loyalty that expands our competitive moat....

Beginning in late 2024 and into 2025, we built on our foundational drivers by layering in additional multi-year capabilities: Order Ahead, improvement in throughput, and our new food program. Together, these initiatives are designed to meaningfully reduce friction, unlock our shop capabilities, and expand our customer base and visit frequency over time. Our Order Ahead program ended 2025 with approximately 14% mix in Q4. The program has activated an underutilized channel, the walk-up window, which is approximately 18% of channel mix in Q4. Order Ahead has also proven to be a powerful catalyst for our loyalty program, driving Dutch Rewards penetration higher to 70%+ each full quarter since launch. Even with continued growth in Dutch Rewards membership, we continued to see registrations per shop and active users per shop trend higher, an indicator of sound shop loyalty and customer engagement.

2025 was also a pivotal year in establishing the foundation for sustainable throughput improvement. We implemented a new training model for our field teams and refined labor deployment by aligning labor to better match customer demand patterns. These efforts are delivering results, enabling us to support continued transaction growth while protecting the customer and Broista experience. To further build on our momentum, we welcomed Jennifer Somers as Chief Shops Officer last month. She brings deep experience in scaling high-growth restaurant brands while elevating operational excellence and customer experience. We are equally encouraged with the progress of our new food program, which continues to perform exceptionally well as we expand its rollout across the broader system. This represents another meaningful step toward lowering structural barriers to visiting Dutch Bros and expanding the set of beverage occasions.

It’s worth noting that one year ago, this program was limited to 4 shops in the greater Phoenix market, and by the end of 2025, we had thoughtfully expanded this program to over 300 shops across 11 states, with plans for the rollout to be complete by the end of 2026. Collectively, these initiatives strengthen our scalable shop operating system, one designed to increase speed, provide greater convenience, and drive share taking growth. In closing, Dutch Bros remains exceptionally well-positioned with a very clear strategy, strong fundamentals, and a long runway ahead. We are intentionally building this business with a long-term mindset, focused on growing through our people and investing in our brand. We have the largest and most experienced pipeline of regional operators in our history, providing a clear line of sight to 2,029 shops in 2029.

System-wide AUVs are at record levels, reinforcing strong shop-level economics and giving us confidence to pursue our long-term opportunity of 7,000 shops. New shop productivity continues to exceed historical levels, reflecting disciplined market planning, targeted strategic investments in our real estate capabilities, and increased paid marketing to build brand awareness. We continue to have top-tier growth. Over the last three years, we have more than doubled total revenues while also tripling Adjusted EBITDA, demonstrating the strength and scalability of our model. We have ignited transaction growth in 2025 with a much larger comp base, delivering sequential year-over-year improvement in transaction growth, driven by impactful innovation, the expansion of Dutch Rewards, and continued adoption of Order Ahead. We have built a highly scalable and profitable model that quickly resonates with our customers and a value proposition that has been carefully unlocked over 30 years.

Our fundamentals remain sound as we’ve delivered 19 consecutive years of positive same-shop sales growth. Our approach is designed for winning in the long run, operating with discipline, focusing on long-term execution, and growing through our exceptional people. With that, I’ll pass it to Josh.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Thanks, Christine. I’ll provide a recap of our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, along with an outlook for 2026. Our fourth quarter performance reinforces the confidence we have in our underlying transaction strength and our strong four-wall shop economics. For 2025, total revenues were $1.64 billion, representing an impressive growth of 28%. System-wide AUVs reached a record $2.1 million. Adjusted EBITDA climbed to $303 million, outpacing total revenue growth with an exceptional increase of 31%. System same-shop sales growth was 5.6%, with impressive transaction growth of 3.2%. Despite commodity cost headwinds, our 2025 company-operated contribution margin landed at approximately 29%, a testament to our persistence in balancing near-term pressures and strategic investments while continuing to build long-term customer value.

Looking forward, as we expect coffee costs to normalize, we remain extremely confident in our ability to deliver our long-term contribution margin goal of approximately 30%.... During the year, we opened 154 new shops, bringing our total system shop count to 1,136. For the fourth quarter, total revenues were $444 million, an increase of 29% or $101 million over the fourth quarter of last year. System same-shop sales growth was 7.7%, driven by standout transaction growth of 5.4%. In Q4, we saw broad-based strength throughout the quarter, with momentum driven from exciting innovation and Dutch Rewards. Additionally, we’re beginning to see the impact of our new food program on comp, including both ticket and transaction lift, which is consistent with our prior commentary on the program.

Looking ahead to 2026, we expect full year system same-shop sales growth of approximately 3%-5%, which assumes taking around a point of incremental price during 2026 as we continue to strengthen our relative value proposition. The impact of cycling strong transaction growth that strengthened over the course of 2025, the annual lap of Order Ahead, and continued excitement on the new food rollout, with early shop results suggesting an approximate 4% comp lift in shops that have the program. We rolled off a point of pricing in January and expect to roll off another point in early July. As a result, we expect the benefit of effective pricing to step down slightly in the back half of the year, while transaction growth comparisons begin to step up.

We plan to continue to methodically roll out food across our shops throughout 2026, with the comp lift impact phased in throughout the year. As a reminder, we expect that nearly 300 legacy shops may not be able to accommodate the new food program. Our 2026 system same shop sales growth guidance contemplates approximately 4%-6% in the first quarter, reflecting the strong results we saw in January and less than a point of price taken at the start of the year. In the fourth quarter, we opened 55 new shops, with many opening later in the quarter and a few carrying over into 2026. Consistent with our prior commentary, these openings in 2026 represent incremental shops beyond our initial 2026 guidance, and all of them opened in January.

As a result of these carryover openings, we now expect to open at least 181 system shops in 2026, representing 16% shop growth. This figure includes 20 Clutch Coffee Bar conversions, which were contemplated in our original shop guidance provided last quarter. This conversion opportunity allows us to deploy capital in a highly efficient way with a purchase price of approximately $20 million. For modeling purposes, we expect approximately 30 system shop openings in Q1 and a gradual step up into the rest of the year. Switching to company-operated shop performance in Q4, revenue was $410 million, an increase of 30% or $95 million over the fourth quarter of last year. Company-operated same shop sales growth was an incredible 9.7% and was primarily driven by 7.6% transaction growth.

Company-operated shop contribution was $113 million, an increase of 24% or $22 million year-over-year. Company-operated shop contribution margin was 27.6%. Beverage, food, and packaging costs were 27% of company-operated shop revenue, which is 160 basis points unfavorable year-over-year, primarily driven by higher coffee costs and costs associated with the continued rollout of our new food program. With coffee costs remaining elevated throughout 2025, the impact increased throughout the year and will have a continued impact into 2026. Given our inventory turns, any change in coffee prices, including the related P&L impact, typically lags by 2-3 quarters. The midpoint of our full year 2026 guidance contemplates approximately 80 basis points of total COGS pressure.

Included in this is approximately 200 basis points of total COGS pressure in Q1 2026, with that pressure stepping down throughout the year. Labor costs were 26.2% of company-operated shop revenue, which is 90 basis points favorable year-over-year. Occupancy and other costs were 17.2% of company-operated shop revenue, which is 30 basis points favorable year-over-year. As a reminder, in 2026, we expect occupancy and other costs as a percentage of revenue to increase by shifting more of our lease arrangements to build-to-suit leases. In 2025, approximately 45% of our leases were build-to-suit leases, and we expect continued progress in 2026 towards our long-term goal. Pre-opening expenses were 2% of company-operated shop revenue, which is 90 basis points unfavorable year-over-year, driven by increased strategic investments related to training and jump-starting shop openings.

Switching gears, Q4 adjusted SG&A was $65 million, or 14.7% of total revenue. While we continued to make investments in our infrastructure and our people in 2025, we were also able to drive 140 basis points of leverage in adjusted SG&A. Our 2026 guidance contemplates a continuation of this momentum as we expect an additional 70 basis points of adjusted SG&A leverage. For modeling purposes, we expect a continued flattening of adjusted SG&A dollars throughout the year when compared to 2025. In the quarter, adjusted EBITDA was $73 million, an increase of 49% or $24 million over the fourth quarter of last year. Lastly, we delivered $0.17 of adjusted EPS, up from $0.07 in Q4 of last year... Let me now provide an update on our liquidity and cash flow.

As of December 31, we had approximately $705 million in total liquidity. This includes $269 million in cash and cash equivalents, and approximately $435 million in our undrawn revolver. In Q4, our average CapEx per shop was $1.3 million, compared to $1.8 million in Q4 of 2024. During the quarter, our net cash position increased by approximately $3 million from Q3, driven by strong cash flows from operations. We have now consistently added net cash to our balance sheet, and in 2025, did so ahead of schedule, a testament to the strength of our execution and the long-term staying power of our brand.

This marks a clear step change in the momentum we’ve built by generating free cash flow for a second consecutive year and reinforces my confidence that we are on the right track to further strengthen the durability of our business. Now, let me provide our 2026 guidance. Total revenues are projected to be between $2 billion and $2.03 billion, representing 22%-24% growth year-over-year. Total system shop openings are now estimated to be at least 181 shops. System same shop sales growth is estimated to be in the range of 3%-5%. Adjusted EBITDA is estimated to be in the range of $355 million-$365 million.

At the midpoint of this range, we expect approximately 60 basis points of net Adjusted EBITDA margin pressure, largely driven by elevated coffee costs and the continued impact on occupancy that I spoke to earlier, but partially offset by leverage on Adjusted SG&A. Capital expenditures are estimated to be in the range of $270 million-$290 million. We remain optimistic about the future with a clear and compelling path forward. Our ability to innovate and execute has scaled AUVs to record highs across an even larger set of shops, supported by best-in-class four-wall shop economics. Our people are delivering an exceptional customer experience, reinforcing the compelling value proposition we offer. Thank you, everyone. We’ll now take your questions. Operator, please open the lines.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. Please limit yourself to one question. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. Again, that is star one to ask a question. Our first question comes from Andrew Charles with TD Cowen.

Andrew Charles, Analyst, TD Cowen: Great. Thank you, guys. Christine, you know, investors are focused on your same-store sales resiliency this spring as larger limited service restaurants either launch energy and iced coffee beverages or revamp their platforms. And I’m guessing you’re not providing specifics, but can you talk about the levers at your disposal to protect traffic during this time? For instance, is there an opportunity to accelerate the food rollout before 2026 end, given the success you’re seeing there? Do you expect to raise marketing spend in 2026 to promote more awareness of Dutch? Are you open-minded to increase points offers with Dutch Rewards members? Just some texture on how you’re thinking about this and how you would maintain your traffic strength.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, thanks for the question, Andrew. Our business is performing incredibly well. Look at the 7.7% same shop sales in Q4, and this has been a competitive market since 1992. We have an incredible value proposition. I think the combination of our service, the quality of our beverages, everything that our baristas provide, we’re also right in the sweet spot of where the growth in this market is. It’s about convenience, it’s about energy, it’s about iced, innovation, and we have the best teams and service in this industry. We started the year strong this year, and we’re incredibly confident with where the business stands.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Our next question comes from Chris O’Cull with Stifel.

Chris O’Cull, Analyst, Stifel: Good afternoon, guys, and congrats on another great quarter. Christine, AUVs have reached record levels, yet you’ve also noted that the company is still in the basic blocking and tackling phase of labor deployment. I’m just wondering, as Jen takes over shop operations, what’s her mandate, and how much additional transaction capacity is she looking maybe to unlock during peak periods?

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah. So, Jen is new on board. She just completed her shop training and is getting to know all of our teams. And as we look at her priorities, it’s really about how do we serve our baristas better? So how do we prioritize the initiatives that are coming at our shops, and how do we support them to continue to roll out the food program, to continue to roll out mobile order and have enhancements in that program? So she’ll be very focused on the same initiatives that we’re focused on, really across the system.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Moving next to Andy Barish with Jefferies.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Hey, good evening, guys. I think you kind of tied a couple of things together that you may be doing a little bit differently on new store openings, you know, in addition to the, you know, kind of work that went on on the pipeline and things like that. Can you unwrap that a little bit more, you know, in terms of trading and things like that?

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, so as far as our new shop openings go, we continue to focus on making sure that the shop opens with the right teams, with the right support from our mob team, and that we’re aware of where are there shops close by, so we can train in those shops. So we’re very thoughtful now that we have such a large network of shops and such a large network of baristas who can support the opening of these shops, that we can really support them in the best way. I think the other example of that is, as our real estate modeling has gotten tighter, we can really think through what those AUVs are going to be in those new markets. Is this a first-to-market shop? What will those AUVs look like?

So that we can really send that support to ensure that the shop really opens in the best way possible.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: And our next question comes from Christine Cho with Goldman Sachs.

Christine Cho, Analyst, Goldman Sachs: Yes, thank you so much, and congrats on a great quarter. You mentioned the 4% comp lift in your food pilot stores, with kind of roughly one-fourth coming from transactions previously. As you scale the food program, are there any kind of metrics you could share to help us track the progress, attach rate, or mix shift, day-part growth? And additionally, while your hot food is positioned primarily as a lever to drive incremental beverage occasions, how are you thinking about potentially broadening the offering to capture additional day parts and occasions now that all the equipment is already in place? Thank you.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, so as we look at the food program, we haven’t shared additional statistics, but, within, within the company, we’re tracking lots of different things. So we’re tracking our barista satisfaction, we’re looking at how the customers are loving the food platform, we’re looking at how each successive rollout, the training is going. We’re looking at operational metrics within the shop, of what our deliveries look like, what our waste percentages look like. So all of those things are being tracked, and we’re incredibly pleased with everything that we’re seeing as we continue to, roll out this program. And then as far as the long term, we really are building a, you know, a long-term food platform and capability here. And we’ll continue to look for opportunities where we could grow, attach, or grow new occasions, at different parts of the day.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Our next question comes from Dennis Geiger with UBS.

Dennis Geiger, Analyst, UBS: Great. Thanks, guys, and congrats on the results. Just as it relates to 2026 guidance, wondering if I could ask a bit more on two parts of the guide, Josh. One, including the revenue guide, and if anything more that you could add on sort of what you’re embedding from a new store productivity standpoint, at least directionally. It sounds like still elevated. Just wanted to get a sense, is it, you know, similar to what you saw last year or anything different embedded there? And just on the EBITDA margin side of things, if anything else additional to unpack there, I know you gave the COGS piece. Would you break out the food menu launch impact, specifically, if possible? Thank you very much.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah. Thanks for the question. So as we think about the, I guess, our overall shape or margin for the year, we are expecting, you know, continued coffee headwinds, as I mentioned in previous or in my prepared remarks, where coffee costs are really remaining elevated throughout 2025, mostly impacting in Q1 of year 2026. So we’re expecting about 200 basis points of margin headwind in Q1. That is primarily coffee, but also is driven partially by the impact of the food rollout. You know, we did also highlight that we would continue to expect elevated occupancy and other costs.

Haven’t given the specifics on that, but you can imagine that that’ll remain elevated, as we continue our shift to build-to-suit leases. Other important factor, as you think about the year, is that, while we continue to drive leverage in adjusted SG&A, we are expecting a continued flattening of the SG&A dollars, quarter by quarter, relative to prior quarters. So all in, we’re expecting full year, about 60 basis points of EBITDA margin pressure from all those various pieces. Then... Sorry, back to the first part of your question on new shop productivity. Certainly, we did see very strong performance coming from new shops, really across the board, really exceeding our expectations throughout the year.

We have, you know, a lot of that being the result of the market planning work, and then certainly some geographic openings that just performed really strong. We are expecting that we will have some great openings going into next year, but remain very confident with that $1.8 million target that we are typically underwriting at, and feel really good about the returns we see at those levels. And moving on to David Tarantino with Baird.

David Tarantino, Analyst, Baird: Hi, good afternoon. Christine, I was wondering if maybe we could revisit the topic on competitive product launches, and I guess there’s two parts to the question. You know, if you could maybe comment again on how your stores in Colorado performed when McDonald’s was running their big energy drink test, that might be helpful. And then, bigger picture, I mean, you’ve been around the category for a really long time, and I was just wondering your thoughts on, you know, kind of what the broader push on advertising of the category might mean, you know, for the category growth and how Dutch Bros might be able to take advantage of that.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah. So on the first question on the energy test, as we shared last quarter, we really didn’t see anything in our business. I think we are the category creator of customized energy, and I think anything that’s being shared about the category that creates new customers and new customer interest, I would guess that we would likely benefit from that. And so we do feel really confident about what we’re doing from an energy perspective. We’ve been in the energy business for a very long time and really know what customers want in this space. I think, you know, big picture on this broader push on advertising and things like that, you know, I think that this is a category that continues to grow. I think with our very strong growth rate, we’re clearly taking share in the category.

I think that anything around the category maybe continues to benefit us. We’re seeing incredibly strong results right now.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: We’ll go next to Sara Senatore with Bank of America.

Sara Senatore, Analyst, Bank of America: Thank you. I have a question about the Clutch acquisition, and then just maybe a clarification on Josh’s comment on the food impact on margin. Maybe I’ll start with that because it’s straightforward. Just wanna clarify, so food additions should be accretive to shop margins, even if they’re dilutive to food margins. Is that the right way to think about it? And then the question about the acquisition is, you know, as you think about growth, would you anticipate doing more of these type real estate type acquisitions? You know, is the philosophy that, you know, being first mover really matters? Is it that, you know, the scale that you can achieve quickly is important?

I’m just thinking $20 million to buy 20 shops seems roughly about what it would cost for you to build, I think on a... or a little bit, maybe more on a build-to-suit basis. So I’m trying to understand maybe the economics or what the, what the impetus was as, as you think about doing these kinds of things going forward. Thank you.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, Sarah, thanks for the question. So on the food question, we are expecting pressure on COGS, and certainly expect it to be dollar accretive as we’re adding overall new occasions to the business, but would expect it to put a bit of pressure on margin overall. In terms of Clutch, you know, the way we are looking at this, we certainly, to your point on the economics of this, view this as a very productive way of using our capital, deploying capital in acquiring those sites and then converting them, being that they’re existing coffee stands, relatively, you know, low investment to be able to convert these to Dutch Bros.

You know, as we’ve done and looked at our portfolio over time, we are always looking for either ground-up builds or conversion opportunities. Clutch provided us a great opportunity to grab a hold of 20 sites in a market that we were just moving into, be able to enter that market relatively rapidly at a very capital-efficient way. So, you know, as we think forward, we’ll always be looking for conversion opportunities. Certainly, like I said, a coffee stand is quite easy to convert to a Dutch Bros. But we’ll look for conversion opportunities or those ground-up builds as we continue to expand.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Brian Harbor with Morgan Stanley has our next question.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley: Yeah, thanks. Good afternoon, guys. With food, you know, what have you seen? Does it open quite strong and perhaps settle out? You know, does it sort of build steadily? Do you find that some of the markets that have it in more shops have seen higher food mix as that happens? And then, I guess, you know, are you contemplating marketing this this year, or is it more of like a 2027 onward thing?

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah. So we continue to be very pleased with what we’re seeing from the food rollout. And what we’re seeing is very consistent with what we shared last quarter. I think we’ve gotten it to enough shops that we knew what we were going to see. You know, we do roll this out, and pretty quickly, our customers are finding it and ordering it and enjoying it. So we actually see that lift, pretty quickly after rollout, which has given us that great confidence to continue rolling out this food program. We are seeing both a transaction and a ticket lift, so seeing attach, but we also believe that our existing customers are maybe coming in for that extra beverage occasion because we now have that great morning food for them.

We also have great feedback from our baristas, so all that we’re seeing is very strong. And I would say on the marketing question, that we are still building our brand overall, and we will be a beverage-first brand. We’ll remain a beverage-first brand. So I would expect to just continue to see us focusing on beverage as we look at external marketing, and that food is that attach when you come into the shop.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Moving on to Jeff Farmer with Gordon Haskett.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley0: Thanks. Just following up on Sarah’s question about Clutch, I’m curious if you guys are... You alluded to it, but if you’re actually sort of actively seeking sort of opportunities like that, or just how you’re sort of generally viewing the pursuit of small-scale acquisition to potentially accelerate unit growth.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, this is something we’ve continued to do. So, last year, a number of the shops we opened were conversions of other different types of concepts. So this is something that’s been in our portfolio for a while, being able to take attractive real estate and turn it into a Dutch Bros. So we’ll just continue to look for the best real estate opportunities. You know, what I would say with something like a Clutch, we want it from a CapEx perspective, to really fall in line with what we’re doing in opening the rest of our shops. So that’s something important as we do look for these opportunities, but are certainly open to looking for more.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: We’ll go next to John Tower with Citi.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley1: Great. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe on the development side, you know, a number of, or at least one large coffee players.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley4: ... thinking about moving more aggressively into your markets, and I know there’s a number of smaller growing chains that have also been expanding across a lot of your markets. I’m just curious, you know, I know your model is shifting from ground-up to build-to-suit or more of them, but are you seeing any, you know, pressures on site availability in markets, or are you seeing any cost pressures starting to build with respect to competition coming in and perhaps driving up the cost of new locations?

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: No, that’s not what we’re seeing. We’re really seeing great real estate availability, and I think as our brand continues to grow, we’re just an incredibly attractive tenant, for folks out there. So we’re actually seeing— As far as build costs go, we’re seeing a steadiness there. But with our shift to build-to-suit, we have been able to lower our CapEx from $1.8 million in Q4 of 2024 to $1.3 million in Q4 of 2025. So our capital outlay for shops—for per shop has really reduced over the last year.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Chris Carroll with KeyBanc Capital Markets has our next question.

Chris Carroll, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Hi, congrats on the really strong results. And thanks for the update on Order Ahead and walk-up mix. I was wondering if you could maybe expand a little bit more on these channels or order methods, perhaps the incrementality that you’re seeing from these channels. And then how are you thinking about the pace of growth of these channels for this year and how much upside you’re seeing from them long term? Thanks.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, so on mobile order, it hit 14% of transactions in Q4, so we’re very pleased with that level. Internally, we don’t have something that we’re telling the shops we need to get to a certain level because we’re really driven by what does the customer want to do, and we want to have the channels that the customer wants to approach us with. And so I think that is the most important part. So we’re very pleased. It’s clearly something that’s incredibly popular with our customers, and it is something that’s allowed us to balance all of that demand across the shop.

When we started with mobile order, the window that’s not the drive-through window, the one on the other side, it’s actually right around 10%, and so that move up to 18% really allows us to balance that demand across the shop in a nicer way.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: We’ll go next to Jeffrey Bernstein with Barclays.

Jeffrey Bernstein, Analyst, Barclays: Great. Thank you very much, Christine. I was hoping to get more color on that, the walk-up store you mentioned that I think you opened in November in L.A. Obviously, it’s very early, but new seems like a potential new channel, so I’m wondering your learnings. Seems like it would give you a potential for more urban expansion. So how do you think about next steps or, you know, what that does for the, the TAM opportunity, or what, what you need to do to change the box? Any kind of learnings or initial thoughts on how you could perhaps accelerate this opportunity? Thank you.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Thanks, Jeff. Yeah, we’re really pleased by what we’re seeing. Again, this is very early in looking at this type of model, but I do think the investments that we’ve made over time, so having that mobile order channel has allowed us to open this up. So the way that we open the shop is we still have a walk-up window, and then we have a mobile order window. And so we still have two windows, even though it is a non-drive-through shop. And we’ve got a line buster outside taking your order when you come in and you’re coming to that walk-up window. And so a lot of the things that work in our drive-through shops are working really well in this shop in L.A.

You know, as a reminder, our TAM of 7,000 includes drive-through locations, like the locations we have. We still very much believe in that 7,000 unit TAM, and this is a potential additional channel that we’re very pleased has just kicked off in a really strong way.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Next, we have Logan Reich with RBC Capital Markets.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley4: Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. Most of mine got asked already, so I’ll ask a follow-up on the Clutch acquisition. Appreciate the clarity around the $20 million purchase price, about $1 million per location. I’m just wondering if you can give any additional color on what the additional investment is required to transition those locations over to Dutch Bros and timeline for openings for those 20 stores. Thanks.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, thanks for the question. So, if you could just think about these as, as, you know, an all-in cost, not too inconsistent from how we’ve been building costs overall or building shops overall. So these are existing coffee stands. They actually were... The founder of the company was a former Dutch employee, so look and feel a lot like a Dutch Bros as they are. So we have some equipment to do, obviously, signage and, and look and feel to make them look like a Dutch Bros. Relatively light capital lift that would put this in, right in the range of, of the, our cost of building, building shops today. In terms of timeline of opening, we’re obviously working through the, the process of converting them. Expect them to open during, during the year here in, in Q2 and Q3.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: We’ll go next to Nick Setyan with Mizuho. Nick, are you on the line?

Chris Carroll, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Hey, great. Thanks for the question, and congrats on a great quarter. Obviously, the, you know, company-owned growth is the by far the primary driver of,

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley6: ... fundamentals. So just so we can all kind of be on the same page, would it be possible to maybe, you know, tell us what the 3%-5% comp for the year and the 4%-6% system comp for Q1 bakes in for company-owned comp?

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, Nick, thanks for the question. We’re not providing the decomposition of that on an outlook basis, so obviously feel very pleased with the performance we’ve seen out of both the company and the system during Q4. Feel like both will be contributing to our growth as we head into 2026. So both will be contributing to the Q1 guide we gave as well as the full year of the 3%-5%.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: We’ll take our next question from Gregory Frankfurt with Guggenheim Partners.

Gregory Frankfurt, Analyst, Guggenheim Partners: Hey, hey, thanks. Just one clarification, is, is the $20 million of Clutch acquisition, is that included in the CapEx guide? And, and then my question, I guess, is for Christine. This walk-up stores, opportunity that, that you guys are unlocking right now, do you think this is gonna be a meaningful part of development in, in either 2026, or I guess not 2026, but 2027 or 2028? I guess, do you think we could turn that on from a kind of growth channel perspective that quickly? Thanks.

Josh Guenser, CFO, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, Greg, thanks for your question. I’ll take the first one quickly here. That $20 million is included in our guide, so that’s a part of the full CapEx guide we provided.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Yeah, and then on the walk-up location, we’ll continue to learn, so very early days. We’ll continue to learn before we understand how what this opportunity might look like for us.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Moving on to John Ivanco with JP Morgan.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley2: Hi, thank you. You know, so the question is really on competition, and I do think that you know, you’ve addressed competition for real estate very well. You know, but I do wanna ask, and you know, this is really a hyperlocal market question, because certainly it’s not in the consolidated results, around competition that might be happening in very specific trade areas, you know, where you’ve gone from you being in a market to maybe having two new entrants or three new entrants, you know, that have kind of come in around you, both from a customer perspective and also an employee perspective.

Just if there’s anything, you know, because certainly, you know, we, you know, we kind of hear, you know, not any actual, you know, damage or concern, but people are worried that competition could begin to affect you locally before we would see something nationally. So, you know, what I’m really looking for in this call is, you know, if you’ve seen anything locally, you know, that has happened from competition, how deep that may have been or even, yeah, or the duration of that time, if there’s been any impact at all, you know, that you’ve noticed, you know, just looking on a more micro basis across your chain. Thank you so much.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Thanks for the question, John. Yeah, we’re not really seeing anything on a local level. What we go into every market, there’s lots of competition already. There’s lots of local players, there’s big national players, there’s sometimes other, you know, growing, fast-growing chains. So we see all types in lots of different markets and feel incredibly great about our value proposition and feel very good about our ability to compete, among many different circumstances. I think the strength of the brand, the strength of our people, just sets us up in an incredible way, and we’re seeing great performance in our new shops across geographies, across day parts. The business is just in a really strong place.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: This now concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Christine Barone for closing comments.

Christine Barone, CEO and President, Dutch Bros Inc.: Thanks for your questions. 2025 was a monumental year that significantly built on the multi-year runway since our IPO. Since 1992, it’s always been about our people, our culture, and investing back into the communities we serve. We continued to give back in 2025, supporting nearly 700 local organizations across the country and hosting more than 1,600 local givebacks. Thank you again to our teams for making 2025 a resounding success. I am grateful for the opportunity to lead this team and look forward to 2026 and beyond.

Brian Harbor, Analyst, Morgan Stanley7: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This does conclude today’s teleconference. You may disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.