Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

BMO Lifts Deere 12-Month Target to $500 as Sentiment Shows Signs of Recovery

Analysts point to improving demand signals in parts of the business even as valuation concerns persist

By Sofia Navarro DE
BMO Lifts Deere 12-Month Target to $500 as Sentiment Shows Signs of Recovery
DE

BMO Capital Markets increased its 12-month price target for Deere & Co. to $500 from $460 while keeping a Market Perform rating, citing signs that the agricultural equipment maker's most recent earnings reduction may be behind it. The bank highlighted better performance in construction and small agriculture/turf segments and noted an improvement in large agriculture sentiment following disciplined underproduction, but warned that the shares look expensive on several measures.

Key Points

  • BMO Capital lifted its price target on Deere to $500 from $460 but retained a Market Perform rating, citing signs that the last earnings cut may be behind the company.
  • BMO highlighted improving sentiment in large agriculture after disciplined underproduction and stronger performance in construction and small agriculture/turf segments.
  • Valuation concerns persist: the stock trades around 33.4 times earnings and roughly 35-40 times trough EPS, and appears overvalued versus InvestingPro's Fair Value estimate.

BMO Capital Markets on Thursday raised its price target for Deere & Co. to $500 from $460 but left its Market Perform rating unchanged. The firm said there are indications the company may have passed its most recent earnings cut.

In its report, BMO described large agriculture sentiment as still weak, but said it has recovered from recent troughs after the industry implemented disciplined underproduction. The bank added that Deere's construction and small agriculture/turf businesses are exhibiting healthier trends than the large agriculture segment.

Despite the improving demand signals, BMO flagged valuation as a material concern. The firm pointed out the stock is trading at roughly 35-40 times trough earnings per share and at around 11 times the aspirational peak EPS of $60 that Deere recently indicated could be achievable. The report noted the stock's current price-to-earnings ratio is 33.4.

Data from InvestingPro, as cited in the note, suggests Deere is overvalued relative to its Fair Value estimate, a point that is also reflected in the platform's Most Overvalued stocks analysis. An InvestingPro Tip referenced by the note describes Deere as "trading at a high earnings multiple," one of more than 15 exclusive tips the platform provides to subscribers.

BMO's new $500 target translates to about 29 times the firm's fiscal 2026 earnings estimate for Deere. The bank's commentary accompanies reference to Deere's Pro Research Report, which the platform makes available for this company and more than 1,400 other U.S. equities. Deere's common shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker NYSE:DE.

The analyst update follows a strong set of reported results from Deere for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. The company posted earnings per share of $2.42, ahead of the $2.02 forecast. Revenue for the quarter reached $9.61 billion versus an expected $7.59 billion, a revenue beat of 26.61%. After releasing the quarter's results, Deere increased its fiscal 2026 Equipment Operations net income guidance.

Market responses from other brokerages have been markedly bullish. RBC Capital lifted its price target to $736 while maintaining an Outperform rating. Oppenheimer raised its target to $715, attributing the change in part to robust construction momentum and a favorable swing in earnings revisions. Bernstein SocGen Group also moved its target higher to $615 and kept a Market Perform stance after noting Deere's net income was 20% above Street expectations.

Collectively, these analyst moves reflect a broadly more positive tone among some firms following Deere's quarterly beat and subsequent guidance lift, even as valuation questions remain central to the debate among investors and analysts.

Risks

  • Persistently weak sentiment in large agriculture could pressure equipment demand and earnings - this affects the agricultural equipment sector and related industrial supply chains.
  • High valuation multiples relative to trough and aspirational earnings mean the stock may be sensitive to any future earnings disappointments - this poses market risk for equity investors.
  • Overvaluation flags from InvestingPro and other analyses underscore uncertainty around fair value, which could influence investor appetite and share-price volatility in the broader industrials sector.

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