Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

Benchmark Sticks With Buy on QXO After Kodiak Acquisition Agreement

Analyst maintains $50 price goal as QXO pursues distributor deals and equity raise to fund expansion

By Caleb Monroe QXO
Benchmark Sticks With Buy on QXO After Kodiak Acquisition Agreement
QXO

Benchmark has reaffirmed a Buy rating and a $50.00 price target on QXO Inc (NASDAQ:QXO) following the company's agreement to acquire Kodiak Building Partners. The price target implies roughly 93% upside from QXO's recent quote of $25.95, a stock that has already doubled in value over the past year. Benchmark expects the Kodiak acquisition to be earnings-accretive, and the company is pursuing a sizable equity offering alongside reported preliminary Q4 2025 results.

Key Points

  • Benchmark reaffirmed a Buy rating and $50.00 price target on QXO following the Kodiak Building Partners acquisition agreement; the target implies about 93% upside from $25.95.
  • Kodiak is a private U.S. distributor of lumber and building materials that also offers assembly, fabrication and installation services; QXO expects the deal to be accretive to earnings and will update its model after close.
  • QXO disclosed preliminary Q4 2025 results with approximately $2.19 billion in net sales and roughly $150 million in adjusted EBITDA, and announced a public offering as part of a plan to raise $750 million in common stock.

Benchmark Capital Markets has reiterated its Buy recommendation on QXO Inc (NASDAQ:QXO) and held firm on a $50.00 price target after the company reached an agreement to acquire Kodiak Building Partners. At the stock's recent trading level of $25.95, Benchmark's target implies nearly 93% upside, and comes as investors digest both the M&A move and QXO's capital-raising plans.

Kodiak Building Partners is a privately held U.S. distributor focused on lumber and building materials. The company also provides value-added services including assembly, fabrication and installation. QXO announced the acquisition agreement last week; Benchmark expects the transaction to add to earnings, although the firm plans to revise its financial model only after the deal formally closes.

Benchmark analyst Reuben Garner met with Kodiak CEO Brad Jacobs at the Builders' Show this week and held discussions with other public and private participants across the industry in recent weeks. Those meetings informed Benchmark's view that the acquisition will be accretive, while reinforcing the firm's broader thesis about QXO's approach to building scale through distributor platforms.

According to InvestingPro analysis, QXO's overall financial health is rated as "GOOD." While the company reported a loss of $0.51 per share over the trailing twelve months, analysts covered in that analysis project the business will reach profitability this year. Benchmark's outlook is conditioned on completion of the Kodiak transaction and subsequent model updates.

The acquisition is targeted to close in early second quarter 2026. Benchmark also said QXO has up to $6 billion or more of capital available to deploy, a resource the firm views as central to the company's multiple-arbitrage strategy. That strategy, as Benchmark describes it, centers on building a platform across distributor verticals - with roofing and lumber and building materials distributors serving as the company's initial two pillars - to generate value for investors through consolidation.

QXO reported preliminary financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, with net sales of approximately $2.19 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of roughly $150 million. In parallel, the company announced a public offering of 31.6 million shares at $23.80 each, expected to close in January 2026, with BofA Securities named as the underwriter. That offering is part of a larger plan to raise $750 million in common stock, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional $112.5 million of shares.

Benchmark's repeated Buy rating and the $50.00 price target reflect the firm's confidence in QXO's equity offering strategy as a means to secure capital for future deals. Separately, Oppenheimer revised its view upward, increasing its price target to $30.00 from $27.00 and maintaining an Outperform rating, citing the company's potential for significant mergers and acquisitions.

Taken together, the acquisition of Kodiak, the preliminary Q4 financials, and the planned equity raise represent coordinated financial and strategic moves by QXO aimed at strengthening its market position and expanding its capital resources. Benchmark will finalize model updates after the Kodiak deal is closed.

Risks

  • The Kodiak acquisition is expected to close in early second quarter 2026 - timing and completion are not guaranteed and Benchmark will only update its financial model after the transaction closes; this affects the building materials and construction distribution sectors.
  • QXO reported a loss of $0.51 per share over the last twelve months, and while analysts expect profitability this year, that outcome remains an analyst projection rather than a realized result; this creates uncertainty for equity investors.
  • The planned public offering of 31.6 million shares and the broader $750 million equity raise could dilute existing shareholders and change capital structure dynamics depending on execution and market reception.

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