Benchmark on Thursday lowered its price objective for Hillman Solutions Corp. (NASDAQ: HLMN) to $14 from $15, but the firm left its Buy rating intact. The analyst move came after Hillman released fourth-quarter 2025 results earlier in the week that broadly matched consensus expectations on the bottom line.
The shares reacted negatively to modest revisions in guidance and to small cuts in analyst forecasts. After Benchmark’s adjustment and accompanying reductions to the outlook, Hillman’s stock slid by more than 10% on the day. Over the past week the shares have dropped 13%, narrowing the gap between the company’s roughly $1.79 billion market value and the Fair Value assessment flagged by InvestingPro analysis as suggesting the company may be undervalued.
Benchmark trimmed its earnings estimates by $0.05 for both the current fiscal year and the following year. The firm explicitly reduced its $1-per-share price target to reflect those lower forecasts. In addition, InvestingPro Tips indicate that three analysts have recently pared back their earnings projections for the upcoming period.
Despite the downward revisions, Hillman continues to report strong gross profit margins, which remain near 49%. Benchmark reiterated its view that the repair and remodeling segment remains the preferred subset of the residential construction market for the company. The research note also referenced the stock’s valuation before the recent pullback as context for the firm’s outlook.
Benchmark described the start of the year as slow, citing weather-related pressures among factors contributing to a conservative near-term outlook for the business. Those operational headwinds were highlighted as part of the rationale for the more cautious stance on near-term estimates.
The underlying company results showed a mixed picture in the fourth quarter of 2025. Hillman reported earnings per share of $0.10, in line with analyst expectations, but fell short on revenue. The company posted revenue of $365.1 million versus an expected $371.69 million, a shortfall that market participants flagged as a concern.
Investors and analysts are monitoring how Hillman will respond to the revenue miss in future quarters. The company’s recent disclosure underscored the importance of meeting both EPS and revenue targets to maintain investor confidence. For those seeking deeper research, Pro Research Reports covering HLMN and more than 1,400 U.S. equities are available to subscribers.
Contextual takeaway: Benchmark’s actions reflect modest but material tweaks to the company’s near-term financial profile, with the market reacting more sharply than the changes themselves. The combination of analyst downgrades, a revenue miss, and seasonal or weather-related pressures on the business has increased scrutiny on Hillman’s execution in upcoming quarters.