Analyst Ratings February 20, 2026

Barclays Starts Eli Lilly Coverage at Overweight, Cites Leadership in Obesity Treatments

Bank sets $1,350 target as analysts point to GLP-1 drugs and robust recent growth driving valuation debate

By Maya Rios LLY
Barclays Starts Eli Lilly Coverage at Overweight, Cites Leadership in Obesity Treatments
LLY

Barclays has initiated coverage of Eli Lilly with an overweight rating and a $1,350 price target, pointing to the company’s leading role in the expanding obesity treatment market driven by GLP-1 therapies. The bank framed medical treatment of obesity as a structural shift and defended Lilly’s premium valuation against broader pharmaceutical peers. Recent clinical data, multiple analyst upgrades, and a planned manufacturing investment in India accompany the initiation.

Key Points

  • Barclays initiated coverage on Eli Lilly with an overweight rating and $1,350 price target, highlighting leadership in GLP-1 obesity treatments.
  • Eli Lilly’s valuation shows a P/E of 44.47 and PEG of 0.46; market cap is $914 billion with 44.7% revenue growth over the last twelve months and a 45.5% six-month return.
  • Recent clinical data and strategic moves include three-year sustained efficacy for Omvoh in Crohn’s disease, positive results for Taltz plus Zepbound in plaque psoriasis, and a planned $1 billion manufacturing investment in India.

Barclays on Thursday opened coverage of Eli Lilly and Company with an overweight rating and set a price target of $1,350, citing the drugmaker’s prominent position in the obesity treatment market driven by GLP-1 therapies.

The investment bank characterized Lilly’s GLP-1 portfolio as marking a structural change in how obesity is treated, shifting the emphasis from conventional diet and exercise toward medical therapy. Barclays said it expects Lilly to remain the market leader in this category.

Barclays acknowledged that Eli Lilly trades at a considerable premium relative to the broader pharmaceutical sector, but argued the valuation is warranted by the company’s leadership. The bank emphasized this point in its initiation, stating: "Sometimes it’s best to keep it simple and stick with a category leader, so whilst valuation is at a significant premium to the broader space, we think with LLY it’s worth it and initiate coverage with an OW rating."

The stock’s valuation metrics cited in the analysis include a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.47 and a PEG ratio of 0.46, the latter suggesting the stock is trading at a low price relative to near-term earnings growth. Eli Lilly carries a market capitalization of $914 billion and reported revenue growth of 44.7% over the most recent twelve months. On a shorter horizon, the shares have returned 45.5% over the past six months.

Separately, InvestingPro analysis referenced in the coverage indicates the stock appears slightly undervalued based on a Fair Value assessment, and points to expanded research resources available to subscribers for deeper company analysis.


Alongside Barclays’ initiation, the company has reported several clinical and corporate developments which feature in current analyst sentiment. In clinical news, Eli Lilly said its inflammatory bowel disease therapy Omvoh showed sustained efficacy through three years in adults with moderately to severely active Crohn’s disease. The Phase 3 VIVID-2 open-label extension study found that more than 90% of patients who achieved steroid-free remission at one year maintained that remission through three years of treatment.

Additionally, Eli Lilly reported results from a study of the combination of Taltz and Zepbound in moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. The company said the combination outperformed Taltz alone, with 27.1% of participants achieving complete skin clearance and also experiencing significant weight loss after 36 weeks.

On the manufacturing front, Eli Lilly is planning a $1 billion investment in India intended to position the country as a hub for global drug exports.


Analyst activity beyond Barclays has also reflected constructive views. Freedom Capital Markets upgraded Eli Lilly’s rating to Buy and raised its price target to $1,200, citing a strong growth outlook. UBS retained a Buy rating with a $1,250 price target, noting confidence in the company’s oral weight-loss candidate orforglipron and projecting revenue of $83.2 billion in 2026.

Collectively, these analyst actions, the results from ongoing clinical programs, and the planned manufacturing investment form the backdrop to Barclays’ decision to commence coverage with an overweight stance and a $1,350 target.

Investors tracking Eli Lilly will likely weigh the company’s market-leading position in obesity treatments and recent operational developments against its premium valuation metrics as they assess the stock’s outlook.

Risks

  • Valuation premium - Eli Lilly trades at a significant premium to the broader pharmaceutical sector, which may expose investors to downside if growth expectations are not met (impacts equity markets and the healthcare sector).
  • Dependence on projected growth - UBS projects revenues of $83.2 billion in 2026 and other analyst outlooks underpin current ratings; failure to reach such projections could affect stock performance (impacts pharmaceuticals and investor expectations).

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