Stock Markets April 6, 2026

JPMorgan Data Shows Consumer Spending Growth Accelerated in March, Led by Younger Cohorts

Spending pickup driven by discretionary categories and higher gas and airline costs; spending excluding gas lags total growth

By Leila Farooq
JPMorgan Data Shows Consumer Spending Growth Accelerated in March, Led by Younger Cohorts

JPMorgan Chase's updated spending data through March 27 indicates an acceleration in U.S. consumer spending growth to about 5.8% year-over-year in March, up from 5.0% in February. Discretionary outpaced non-discretionary spending, younger consumers led the gains, and higher fuel and airfares boosted gas station and airline spending.

Key Points

  • Overall consumer spending accelerated to roughly 5.8% year-over-year in March, up from February's 5.0%. - Sectors impacted: consumer discretionary, retail.
  • Discretionary spending rose about 6.7% versus 4.2% for non-discretionary categories; younger cohorts (Gen Z and Millennials) drove much of the growth. - Sectors impacted: services, retail, entertainment.
  • Gas station and airline spending surged—gas up approximately 12.8% month-to-date and airline spending up about 8.2%—driven by higher oil and jet fuel costs. - Sectors impacted: energy, airlines, travel.

JPMorgan Chase published revised consumer spending figures through March 27 that show an acceleration in overall spending growth in March. Total spending rose to roughly 5.8% year-over-year for the month, compared with a 5.0% increase in February.

The bank's data, compiled on a rolling seven-day basis with a lag, separates discretionary from non-discretionary categories. Through March 27, discretionary spending expanded by approximately 6.7% year-over-year, outpacing the roughly 4.2% growth in non-discretionary categories versus the same period in 2025.

When excluding gas station purchases, total spending still rose but at a slightly slower pace. Spending excluding gas stations climbed about 5.5% month-to-date through March 27 on a year-over-year basis, a touch below February's 5.6% growth. If the month ends with these trends intact, March would be the first month since October 2022 in which spending excluding gas grows more slowly than total spending.

Looking at a longer window, JPMorgan reported that total spending for the trailing 12 months ended March 27 increased by approximately 4.61%.

The increase in March was concentrated among younger consumers. Generation Z and Millennials led the gains, with spending up roughly 9.4% month-to-date through March 27 compared with the same period in 2025. That performance outpaced Generation X, which recorded about 2.9% growth, and Baby Boomers at about 1.5% growth. JPMorgan observed that part of the younger cohorts' stronger showing reflects typical life-cycle spending behavior, where income and spending tend to rise more quickly early in career cycles.

Sector-specific movements were pronounced in areas sensitive to commodity costs. Spending at gas stations jumped about 12.8% month-to-date through March 27 relative to the same period in 2025, a sharp reversal from February's negative 7.3% growth. JPMorgan linked the swing chiefly to higher oil prices and estimated that average gas prices between March 1 and March 27 were up about 17.8% versus the same period in 2025. The bank noted this creates a headwind for lower- and middle-income households.

Other retail categories also accelerated, with spending rising roughly 7.4% month-to-date through March 27 versus the same period in 2025, up from February's 6.7% year-over-year gain.

Airline spending showed a particularly large increase, climbing about 8.2% month-to-date through March 27 compared with the same period in 2025. This was markedly higher than February's approximate 2.1% year-over-year gain. JPMorgan attributed the surge in airline spending primarily to higher airfares resulting from rising jet fuel costs and a pull-forward in travel demand linked to the conflict in the Middle East.


The data provide a snapshot of shifting consumer behavior in early spring: stronger discretionary activity led by younger households, commodity-driven increases in gas and travel expenses, and a notable divergence between total spending and spending measures that exclude fuel purchases.

Risks

  • Rising fuel prices increased gas station spending by an estimated 12.8% month-to-date and average gas prices were up about 17.8% year-over-year for March 1-27, creating affordability pressures for lower- and middle-income consumers. - Affected sectors: consumer staples, autos, energy.
  • Higher jet fuel costs and a pull-forward of travel demand led to an approximate 8.2% month-to-date rise in airline spending, which may pressure discretionary travel budgets and airline pricing dynamics. - Affected sectors: airlines, travel.
  • If spending excluding gas continues to lag total spending - and March becomes the first month since October 2022 where that occurs - it could signal that commodity price swings are materially affecting headline consumer demand measures. - Affected sectors: retail, consumer discretionary, energy.

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