Stock Markets April 7, 2026

Goldman Flags Potential Entry Point as Tech Valuations Languish

Prolonged underperformance, AI shifts and hyperscaler capex compress premiums even as earnings hold up

By Leila Farooq
Goldman Flags Potential Entry Point as Tech Valuations Languish

Goldman Sachs says the technology sector is trading at comparatively low valuations after a sustained period of weak relative returns, creating a potential buying opportunity. The bank cites factors such as the release of China’s DeepSeek AI model, heavy capital spending by U.S. hyperscalers and AI-driven disruption in software as drivers of the sector's relative weakness. Despite the valuation pullback, earnings growth in the IT sector has been strong and consensus forecasts point to outsized contribution to S&P 500 EPS growth.

Key Points

  • Goldman Sachs identifies one of the weakest periods of relative returns for technology in decades, creating potential value for investors.
  • Drivers of the sector's relative weakness include China's DeepSeek AI release, large capex by U.S. hyperscalers, and AI-driven software disruption; IT valuations are now below several other sectors globally.
  • Technology earnings remain strong - consensus expects IT EPS to rise 44% and to contribute 87% of S&P 500 EPS growth in the first quarter, with earnings revisions more positive than any other sector.

April 7 - Technology shares appear inexpensive after an extended stretch of lagging performance, presenting what Goldman Sachs describes as a potential entry point for investors.

In a client note, Goldman said that so far this year investors have witnessed "one of the weakest periods of relative returns for technology over the past 50 years." The firm points to several developments since 2025 that have weighed on the broader sector and prompted a rotation into value-style equities.

Among the specific pressures cited are the release of the Chinese artificial intelligence model DeepSeek, large-scale capital expenditure by U.S. hyperscalers and AI-induced disruption within the software industry. Taken together, these forces have contributed to the technology group's relative underperformance versus the rest of the market.

Despite that underperformance, Goldman says growth prospects within the sector remain robust while valuations have contracted. In the U.S., the valuation premium once assigned to hyperscalers has narrowed and is now nearly equal to the premium for the remainder of the technology sector.

On a global basis, Goldman notes the information technology sector's price-to-earnings ratio is below those of consumer discretionary, consumer staples and industrials. The brokerage added that the sector's valuation, when measured against expected consensus growth, has fallen beneath that of the global aggregate market and is therefore starting to present "attractive valuation opportunities for investors."

Goldman also highlighted geopolitical tensions as an additional factor improving the sector's appeal. The bank said the war in Iran has indirectly increased attractiveness for technology stocks, arguing that technology cash flows are relatively insensitive to economic growth and that the sector may benefit from any rally in bond yields. "Given the relative insensitivity of cash flows in the technology sector to economic growth, and the benefit it would derive on any rally in bond yields, this sector might prove to be more defensive over the next few months," Goldman said.

Despite compressed valuations, the fundamentals have not deteriorated, according to the note. Goldman observed that technology earnings have remained strong. Within the S&P 500, the market consensus projects information technology earnings per share to expand by 44%, and that IT would account for 87% of the index's EPS growth in the first quarter.

Goldman further reported that earnings revisions in the sector have been more positive than for any other sector. The combination of pronounced earnings strength and weak relative price performance has created what the firm described as a record gap between market performance and underlying earnings growth.


Impacted sectors - Information technology, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, industrials, and the large cloud hyperscalers that dominate capex spending.

Risks

  • Sustained market underperformance - If the factors compressing technology valuations persist, the sector could continue to lag, affecting IT and hyperscaler-related stocks.
  • Geopolitical uncertainty - The war in Iran is cited as influencing sector attractiveness; such tensions could create unpredictable market conditions for technology and fixed income.
  • Valuation vs. performance disconnect - A record gap between earnings strength and market performance introduces uncertainty about timing and extent of any valuation re-rating.

More from Stock Markets

Indian equities close higher as tech, real estate and metals lead gains Apr 7, 2026 SpaceX IPO Could Dominate Investor Appetite, Threatening Momentum for Other Listings Apr 7, 2026 Leonardo stock drops 6% amid reports of imminent CEO replacement Apr 7, 2026 UBS Lowers S&P 500 Targets Citing Higher Oil Prices and Pushback to Fed Easing Apr 7, 2026 Medicare Advantage Payment Boost Lifts Insurer Shares as CMS Widens 2027 Rates Apr 7, 2026