Economy April 10, 2026 03:05 AM

Thailand’s finance minister warns government has limited tools to tackle economic strains

Officials advance targeted supports including soft loans for solar, a possible car trade-in plan and guarantees for an oil subsidy fund as growth and inflation outlooks depend on Middle East conflict

By Derek Hwang
Thailand’s finance minister warns government has limited tools to tackle economic strains

Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas said Thailand has limited ammunition to deal with its economic problems and outlined a package of targeted measures including soft loans for solar panels, consideration of a car trade-in scheme, cuts to unnecessary spending in next year’s budget, and plans for a borrowing guarantee to support an oil subsidy fund. Central Bank Governor Vitai Ratanakorn left the policy rate at 1.00% and warned growth could slow to 1.3%-1.7% this year while inflation might rise to 2.5%-3.5% depending on the conflict in the Middle East.

Key Points

  • Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas said Thailand has limited ammunition to address its economic problems, prompting a focus on targeted measures.
  • Planned actions include soft loans for solar panels, consideration of a car trade-in scheme, and a proposal to cut unnecessary spending in next fiscal year’s budget.
  • Government will propose measures to help vulnerable groups at a special cabinet meeting and plans a borrowing guarantee for an oil subsidy fund; the central bank kept the policy rate at 1.00% and flagged slower growth (1.3%-1.7%) and higher inflation (2.5%-3.5%) depending on the Middle East conflict.

Thailand's finance minister acknowledged constrained fiscal capacity as the government prepares a set of targeted responses to mounting economic pressures. Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas said on Friday that authorities have "limited ammunition" to address the country's economic problems, and outlined several measures the government is advancing.

Among the initiatives Ekniti identified, the cabinet will approve soft loans intended to support adoption of solar panels. The measure aims to encourage uptake of residential or commercial solar technology by easing financing terms for users, he said.

Officials are also exploring a car trade-in scheme, Ekniti added, without providing implementation details. He said the budget for the next fiscal year will prioritize cuts to unnecessary spending as a means of tightening fiscal discipline while preserving targeted support where needed.

In addition, the finance minister said measures to assist vulnerable groups will be presented at a special cabinet meeting scheduled for Saturday. He described these steps as part of a narrowly focused effort to shield households most at risk from rising costs.

To counter the impact of higher oil prices, the government is planning a borrowing guarantee for an oil subsidy fund, together with other support measures, Ekniti said. The guarantee is intended to underpin the fund's capacity to smooth fuel price changes for consumers and businesses.


Monetary policy has remained steady even as external risks mount. Central Bank Governor Vitai Ratanakorn said on Thursday that the policy rate of 1.00% would be left on hold despite the economic fallout from the war in the Middle East. The governor also set out a range for the economy's outlook this year, saying growth could slow to between 1.3% and 1.7%, while inflation could rise to between 2.5% and 3.5%, with both outcomes dependent on developments in the conflict.

The combined fiscal and monetary posture outlined by senior officials signals a reliance on targeted fiscal interventions and a cautious stance from the central bank amid a narrower set of policy options, according to the statements released by the finance ministry and the central bank.

Risks

  • Rising oil prices could strain household and business finances and require continued government support - impacts energy and consumer sectors.
  • The war in the Middle East creates uncertainty that may slow economic growth and push up inflation, affecting macroeconomic stability and market expectations.
  • Limited fiscal space constrains the government’s ability to deploy broad stimulus, increasing vulnerability of vulnerable groups and limiting support to specific sectors such as renewables and transport.

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