Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
2,676 total articles
A New York Fed official said the central bank will keep sizable Treasury bill and short-term government bond purchases in place through mid-April to rebuild reserves and manage liquidity around the annual tax filing date. The purchases, described as technical reserve management operations, total about $40 billion per month and sit alongside other g…
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said that if political influence over the U.S. Federal Reserve grows, it could set a precedent that encourages politicians in other countries to exert similar pressure on their central banks, potentially raising inflation worldwide. Nagel noted that while the European Central Bank's independence is well protected,…
Citigroup's rates desk warns market expectations for US inflation are too low and recommends inflation-linked positions. Benjamin Wiltshire says investors may be overlooking ongoing consumer resilience and that inflation is structurally higher, making five-year five-year inflation forwards an attractive trade given current pricing around 2.5%, belo…
Anthropic announced a $30 billion Series G funding round that places the AI developer behind the Claude chatbot at a $380 billion valuation. The round was co-led by D. E. Shaw Ventures, ICONIQ and MGX and included major venture and institutional investors. Anthropic, backed by Alphabet and Amazon, recently released a new flagship model, Opus 4.6, a…
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz reiterated his refusal to back joint European government bonds following a meeting where EU leaders pledged to strengthen the bloc’s border-free internal market. Merz pointed to constraints imposed by Germany’s Constitutional Court and signalled common ground with France on measures to shield European markets from u…
European Council President Antonio Costa said EU leaders unanimously endorsed accelerating the Savings and Investment Union and simplifying related regulations after a leaders' meeting at Alden Biesen castle in Belgium. The group also agreed to press ahead with the 28th regime for companies this year, permit greater consolidation in sectors such as…
The European Commission will publish an action plan in March to strengthen the EU single market of 450 million consumers and advance a long-delayed capital markets union to channel roughly €10 trillion held in bank accounts into more productive investments. Commission President Ursula von der Leyen outlined a June target to complete phase one of th…
Norway’s central bank governor said the bank is resolved to reduce consumer price inflation back to its 2% goal after core inflation unexpectedly rose to 3.4% in January. The reading, higher than both private economists' and the bank’s forecasts, has clouded the outlook for previously announced interest rate cuts and prompted a rally in the Norwegi…
A Federal Reserve Bank of New York study concludes that American consumers and companies carried nearly all of the economic burden from the administration’s recent tariff increases. The paper finds large pass-through of tariffs into import prices and shows the domestic share of the cost shifted somewhat over last year but remained dominant. The New…
Representative Jamie Raskin, the ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, has called for an Inspector General inquiry into whether Department of Justice personnel monitored members of Congress as they reviewed Jeffrey Epstein-related files on DOJ computers. The request followed photographs from a committee hearing in which Attorney Genera…
Supreme Court Justice Dias Toffoli issued a public denial that he has ever received payments or maintained a relationship with Banco Master controlling shareholder Daniel Vorcaro. The statement follows a police report citing references to Toffoli found in information taken from Vorcaro's cellphone after a court-authorized search. The police dossier…
Egypt’s central bank cut its key policy rates by 100 basis points, reducing the overnight deposit rate to 19% and the overnight lending rate to 20%. The move, consistent with market expectations, follows January data showing headline urban inflation at 11.9% and core inflation at 11.2%, down from 11.8% the prior month.
An internal Kremlin memorandum drafted this year contemplates Moscow rejoining the dollar settlement system as part of a broader economic arrangement with a prospective Trump administration. The document identifies seven areas for U.S.-Russia economic alignment after a possible resolution to the Ukraine conflict, emphasizing fossil fuels, joint ene…
A majority of large U.S. brokerages now anticipate the Federal Reserve's initial interest-rate reduction in June 2026, although several institutions see no cuts next year and one projects a hike in 2027. Stronger-than-expected January payrolls and a decline in the unemployment rate to 4.3% have reinforced expectations that the Fed may hold policy s…
A recent survey of bond strategists shows expectations for stable long-term U.S. Treasury yields in the near term, with a projected rise later this year driven by persistent inflation and concerns about central bank independence. Short-term yields are expected to edge lower on bets for Fed rate cuts, while a majority of respondents judge that heavy…
BCA Research classifies U.S. President Donald Trump's political capital as "moderate" following a wave of aggressive policy moves during the first year of his second term. While unified government control and a conservative-leaning Supreme Court initially amplified his capacity to act, recent political frictions, a historic government shutdown and …
Feb 12 - American Electric Power reported fourth-quarter operating earnings that exceeded analysts' expectations and said it will augment its five-year capital expenditure program beyond $72 billion to accommodate rapidly growing electricity demand driven largely by major cloud and AI-related data center customers.
Anthropic said it will contribute $20 million to Public First Action, a political organization that supports candidates favoring state-level AI regulation and opposes federal limitations on states. The move highlights growing political investment by AI companies ahead of the U.S. midterm elections and a broader contest between groups advocating for…
A February poll of economists indicates the European Central Bank will keep its deposit rate at 2.00% at least through the end of this year, extending the central bank's longest continuous period of unchanged rates since its negative-rate era. The survey, conducted Feb. 9-12, shows broad expectations for steady borrowing costs, inflation near targe…
China's commercial banks posted a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.5% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, a modest decline of 0.02 percentage points from the prior quarter, the National Financial Regulatory Administration reported. The regulator also disclosed that banks earned 2.4 trillion yuan ($348 billion) in net profit for the year, …
The dollar has declined sharply against both the euro and the yuan as officials in Europe and China publicly press for a larger international role for their currencies. Those shifts, combined with investor reassessments of dollar dominance and reports of Chinese regulators nudging domestic holders of U.S. Treasuries, are altering comparative return…
U.S. equity futures rose modestly after data showing stronger jobs growth and a lower unemployment rate eased immediate economic concerns. Traders reduced expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, shifting odds toward policymakers holding rates steady, while focus turns to Friday's Consumer Price Index for January and a slate of corpora…
ByteDance on Thursday introduced Seedance 2.0, a multimodal AI model capable of processing text, images, audio and video together to generate high-quality cinematic footage. The system, aimed at film, e-commerce and advertising production, has gone viral on Chinese social media, elicited public praise including a comment from Elon Musk and drawing …
Official GDP figures show the UK economy finished 2025 with subdued growth, driven by weakness in construction and a drop in business investment. ING links part of the investment fall to a cyberattack on a major carmaker late in Q3, and expects the Bank of England to cut rates in March and June if labour-market and wage trends remain soft. EUR/GBP …
Russia's economy is set to slow further through the first half of the year, with an economic rebound delayed until at best late 2026 and more likely 2027, Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said. The ministry has revised its outlook from an earlier projection of recovery in the second half of 2026. Rapid growth in 2023-24 driven by heavy state war …
