Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.
Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.
2,698 total articles
Standard Chartered and Morgan Stanley have moved their expected timing for the Bank of England's first rate cut into the second quarter, citing elevated inflation risks from a sharp rise in oil and gas prices tied to the Middle East conflict. Markets are pricing a high probability that the BoE will leave rates unchanged at its March meeting, while …
Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said a true policy debate is likely at the board meeting next week as uncertainty from the Middle East conflict pushes oil prices higher. Hauser stressed the policy response will hinge on the magnitude and persistence of the resulting price shock, while also pointing to softer consumption and …
Global markets briefly rallied on remarks from President Donald Trump that the conflict with Iran could be "very complete" and "over soon," but those gains were checked after Iran’s Revolutionary Guards vowed they would decide the war's end and hardliners declared continued oil blockade plans. Brent crude plunged as much as 11% to $88.05 a barrel b…
China's exports surged in the January-February period, lifting the trade surplus to $213.6 billion and keeping the country on course for a record-breaking year. Exports rose 21.8% in U.S. dollar terms, far exceeding recent monthly gains and beating consensus expectations. Imports also posted strong growth, while domestic factory earnings remain und…
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s views on monetary policy were interrogated in parliament after reports she raised concerns about further rate hikes during a meeting with Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said the premier made no specific policy requests and underscored the legal balance between the BOJ’s autonomy …
Asian equities jumped and crude prices slumped at the start of trading after U.S. President Donald Trump said the Middle East war could be "over soon." The move followed a volatile session in which oil initially spiked, Wall Street sold off and then recovered, leaving investors to weigh upbeat rhetoric from Washington against defiant actions in Ira…
The dollar eased from recent safe-haven highs as markets reacted to comments suggesting the Middle East fighting might be more limited than feared. Brent crude fell sharply from Monday’s peaks, while risk-sensitive currencies and equities steadied. Traders remained cautious amid conflicting signals from U.S. remarks and Iran’s rejection of those as…
National Australia Bank's business survey recorded unchanged conditions in February at the long-run average, while business confidence fell into negative territory for the first time in nearly a year amid higher borrowing costs and rising input expenses. Sales and investment signals were positive, but labour and cost pressures climbed and retail pr…
Revised government data show Japan's economy expanded faster in October-December 2025 than initially reported, driven by a sharp rise in corporate capital expenditure. The upgrade raises fourth-quarter GDP growth to 1.3% annualised, while household spending and the fallout from the Middle East conflict pose near-term risks to domestic demand and fu…
The Canadian government has cleared TikTok to continue operating in Canada and greenlit an investment by the platform after completing a national security review. The decision is conditional on legally binding undertakings from TikTok Canada, including measures to better protect Canadian user data, enhanced protections for minors, an independent th…
President Donald Trump told reporters that he expects the military confrontation with Iran to conclude soon but indicated it is unlikely to end this week. He said the U.S. will lift certain oil-related sanctions temporarily to help stabilize supplies and reduce prices, while offering few specifics on which measures will be relaxed.
A federal jury in Manhattan found brothers Oren, Tal and Alon Alexander guilty on charges tied to an indictment alleging they lured women and girls to exclusive gatherings where they were allegedly drugged and sexually assaulted. The three had pleaded not guilty and were detained in Brooklyn since their December 2024 arrest. The trial included test…
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell placed 13 brief phone calls with U.S. lawmakers in the week following his January 11 disclosure that the Department of Justice had opened an investigation into his congressional comments. The calendar entries, each recording 10 or 15 minute conversations, occurred in the days after Powell said in a rare Sunday ev…
Global equity markets opened under heavy selling pressure as the conflict with Iran entered a second week and crude surged, at one point climbing as much as 30% above $100 a barrel. Asian and European bourses fell sharply, but major U.S. indexes reversed early losses to finish higher after remarks from President Donald Trump signaled the war may be…
U.S. crude has surged roughly 50% to top $100 a barrel in the wake of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, provoking a sharp uptick in market volatility and prompting investors to reassess risks to corporate margins, consumer spending and Federal Reserve policy. The jump has driven gasoline prices higher, weighed on consumer-facing stocks and tightened th…
Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that oil production dependent on shipments through the Strait of Hormuz may cease entirely within a month, as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran has disrupted a vital transit corridor and sent oil prices above $100 per barrel. Putin said storage in the region is filling with oil that cannot be moved or is costly to…
Brazilian Finance Minister Fernando Haddad is expected to leave his cabinet post by the end of next week to launch a campaign for governor of São Paulo, four sources said. The move, reportedly encouraged by President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, comes as polls show a close national race and ahead of a Datafolha survey in São Paulo that places Haddad …
As The Wealth of Nations marks its 250th birthday, the arguments of Adam Smith retain striking relevance to current debates over tariffs, monopoly power and wealth distribution. The book pairs robust support for trade and market mechanisms with explicit concerns about concentrated wealth and the capture of public policy by powerful interests. Schol…
A sharp jump in oil and energy prices has revived investor concern that a prolonged Middle East conflict could trigger stagflation similar to the 1970s. The move higher in Brent crude and European gas is complicating policy choices for central banks, pressuring bond markets and reshaping safe-haven flows, with Europe and the UK appearing particular…
HSBC said it remains confident in the economic prospects of the Gulf Cooperation Council countries despite recent disruptions tied to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. CEO Georges Elhedery reiterated the bank's faith in the GCC's fundamentals and expressed expectation for renewed stability and growth in the years ahead, even as Iranian drones and bal…
A federal alert circulated to U.S. law enforcement agencies identifies encrypted radio transmissions believed to have come from Iran and relayed across several countries shortly after the reported killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The communications appear encoded for recipients holding a specific decryption key and could be intended to instruct o…
Anthropic has sued to block the U.S. Department of Defense from labeling the company a national security supply-chain risk. The AI developer argues the designation is unlawful, infringes constitutional protections, and seeks a court order to vacate the classification and prevent federal enforcement.
President Trump told the New York Post he has not decided to dispatch U.S. forces to Iran’s Isfahan nuclear enrichment site, saying no choice has been made and the option is not imminent. The remarks come after reporting that U.S. and Israeli officials have discussed special operations to secure Iran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Official…
Anthropic filed suit in federal court seeking to block the Pentagon from placing it on a national security supply-chain risk list. The company argues the designation is unlawful and infringes its free speech and due process rights after refusing to remove guardrails that would permit use of its models for autonomous weapons and domestic surveillanc…
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's February Survey of Consumer Expectations found that Americans' inflation expectations one year ahead edged down to 3% from 3.1% in January, while three- and five-year expectations remained at 3%. The survey, conducted February 2-28, does not capture the public's response to recent surges in oil prices tied to …
