Economy April 7, 2026

GTA Home Sales Reverse Six-Month Slide as Lower Prices Draw Buyers

March sees seasonal uptick in transactions while price index posts tenth consecutive monthly drop

By Nina Shah
GTA Home Sales Reverse Six-Month Slide as Lower Prices Draw Buyers

Greater Toronto Area home transactions rose in March for the first time since September, as seasonally adjusted sales increased 1.4% to 4,546 units. The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board reported that the board’s home price index fell 0.6% month-over-month to C$928,000, marking the 10th straight monthly decline. Year-over-year, sales were up 1.7% even as new listings fell 16.7% and the price index dropped 7.4%.

Key Points

  • Seasonally adjusted GTA home sales increased 1.4% in March from February to 4,546 units, the first monthly rise since September - impacts the housing market and real estate services.
  • The board’s home price index fell 0.6% month-over-month to C$928,000 ($666,954), constituting the 10th straight monthly decline - affects valuations and mortgage-backed exposures.
  • Year-over-year, sales rose 1.7% while new listings dropped 16.7% and the price index fell 7.4% - relevant to supply-demand dynamics and mortgage lenders.

Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales posted a rebound in March, breaking a six-month run of declines, according to data released by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board. The board reported that seasonally adjusted sales rose 1.4% from February to 4,546 units, representing the first monthly increase since September.

The board’s home price index moved lower on a seasonally adjusted basis, falling 0.6% month-over-month to C$928,000 - equal to $666,954 when converted at the rate provided by the board. That decline marks the 10th consecutive month in which the price index has fallen.

The GTA, which comprises the City of Toronto and four neighbouring regional municipalities, recorded modest gains in sales on an annual basis as well: sales were up 1.7% year-over-year. At the same time, the data show a notable drop in new listings, which declined 16.7% compared with the same month a year earlier. Over the 12-month span, the board’s price index was lower by 7.4%.

"It’s encouraging to see an uptick in March home sales compared to last month and last year," the board’s president, Daniel Steinfeld, said in a statement.

"This suggests that an increasing number of GTA households are looking to take advantage of improved affordability as we move into the spring market," Steinfeld said.

The figures point to a market in which lower prices appear to be drawing additional buyer interest, while the supply of new listings has contracted sharply on a year-over-year basis. The board’s statistics show both short-term stabilization in transaction volumes and continued downward pressure on the price index.

Currency conversion used in reporting: ($1 = 1.3914 Canadian dollars).

Risks

  • Persisting declines in the home price index - with a 10-month streak of monthly decreases - create uncertainty for property valuations and sectors exposed to housing collateral.
  • A sharp 16.7% year-over-year fall in new listings could tighten inventory, potentially affecting pricing stability and transaction volumes in real estate and related markets.
  • It is unclear whether the March uptick in sales will continue beyond the spring season; the sustainability of increased buyer activity is not established in the data.

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